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About this Innovative Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Innovative Research in October 2025, with a middle field date of October 17, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=4,106 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±1.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Innovative Research (June 2025), the Liberal Party loses three points from 43% to 40%, the Conservative Party is up one point (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 40% ▼3 LPC 39% ▲1 CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-10-17 338Canada.com

Past polls from Innovative Research




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 53% ▼1 LPC 36% ▲1 CPC 8% ▲1 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-10-17 338Canada.com
Quebec 40% ▼4 LPC 30% ▲2 BQ 22% ▲2 CPC 4% NDP 1% ▼1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-10-17 338Canada.com
Ontario 43% ▼3 LPC 43% ▲2 CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-10-17 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 51% ▲2 CPC 31% ▼5 LPC 14% ▲4 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-10-17 338Canada.com
Alberta 55% ▼4 CPC 33% ▲7 LPC 8% ▼2 NDP Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-10-17 338Canada.com
British Columbia 42% ▲2 CPC 37% ▼4 LPC 15% ▲2 NDP 5% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-10-17 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 41% ▼2 LPC 38% ▲2 CPC 9% NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 3% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-10-17 338Canada.com
Male voters 40% ▼2 LPC 40% CPC 8% ▲2 BQ 8% ▲2 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-10-17 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 40% ▲3 CPC 37% ▼4 LPC 13% ▲3 NDP 5% ▲1 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-10-17 338Canada.com
35-54 years old 40% ▲1 CPC 38% ▼1 LPC 10% ▲1 NDP 7% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-10-17 338Canada.com
55+ years old 44% ▼2 LPC 38% CPC 8% BQ 6% ▲1 NDP 2% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-10-17 338Canada.com




Government satisfaction 48% ▼4 Satisfied 46% ▲4 Dissatisfied 6% Neutral/Unsure Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-10-17 338Canada.com
Innovative Research Government satisfaction tracker 48% 46%2025-10-17 52% 42%2025-06-18 49% 43%2025-05-17 ◻︎Satisfied ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Dissatisfied

Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 45% ▼5 Positive / favourable 32% ▲4 Negative / unfavourable 23% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-10-17 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 45% 32%2025-10-17 50% 28%2025-06-18 50% 27%2025-05-17 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 43% Negative / unfavourable 36% ▼1 Positive / favourable 21% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-10-17 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 36% 43%2025-10-17 37% 43%2025-06-18 38% 42%2025-05-17 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Don Davies 78% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure 14% Negative / unfavourable 8% ▼1 Positive / favourable Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-10-17 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Don Davies 8% 14%2025-10-17 9% 14%2025-06-18 8% 12%2025-05-17 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Yves-François Blanchet 43% ▲6 Neutral / Unsure 35% ▼4 Positive / favourable 22% ▼2 Negative / unfavourable Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-10-17 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Yves-François Blanchet 35% 22%2025-10-17 39% 24%2025-06-18 39% 26%2025-05-17 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



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