logo
Canada

About this EKOS federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by EKOS in July 2025, with a middle field date of July 11, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,817 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.3%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from EKOS (June 2025), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 13%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% ▼1 LPC 31% ▼1 CPC 13% NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 4% ▲1 GPC 4% ▲1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-07-11 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

223 LPC 82 CPC 20 BQ 16 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 47 20 10 1 ON 103 15 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 9 5 AB 21 14 2 BC 21 14 7 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on EKOS federal poll July 11, 2025 🍁
✓ Copied!
Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from EKOS




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 54% ▲54 LPC 23% ▲23 CPC 17% ▲17 NDP 3% ▲3 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-07-11 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Quebec 42% ▲42 LPC 23% ▲23 BQ 20% ▲20 CPC 8% ▲8 NDP 3% ▲3 GPC 3% ▲3 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-07-11 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Ontario 50% ▲50 LPC 30% ▲30 CPC 12% ▲12 NDP 4% ▲4 GPC 4% ▲4 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-07-11 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 39% ▲39 CPC 33% ▲33 LPC 21% ▲21 NDP 7% ▲7 PPC 1% ▲1 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-07-11 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Alberta 48% ▲48 CPC 36% ▲36 LPC 9% ▲9 NDP 5% ▲5 PPC 2% ▲2 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-07-11 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
British Columbia 36% ▲36 CPC 33% ▲33 LPC 21% ▲21 NDP 6% ▲6 GPC 3% ▲3 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-07-11 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 49% LPC 27% CPC 13% NDP 6% BQ 4% GPC 1% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-07-11 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Male voters 38% LPC 35% CPC 13% NDP 6% PPC 5% BQ 3% GPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-07-11 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 39% LPC 25% CPC 21% NDP 6% PPC 5% GPC 2% BQ EKOS federal poll | 2025-07-11 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
35-49 years old 39% CPC 32% LPC 17% NDP 6% BQ 4% GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-07-11 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

50-64 years old 44% LPC 43% CPC 9% NDP 5% BQ 4% GPC 4% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-07-11 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
65+ years old 56% LPC 24% CPC 9% BQ 7% NDP 2% GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-07-11 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!







Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading…


P#925