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About this Research Co. federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Research Co. in February 2026, with a middle field date of February 5, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,001 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Research Co. (September 2025), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 43% to 45% (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party loses six points from 38% to 32%, and the New Democratic Party climbs two points from 8% to 10% (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 45% ▲2 LPC 32% ▼6 CPC 10% ▲2 NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-02-05 338Canada.com
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213 LPC 94 CPC 25 BQ 9 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 45 25 7 1 ON 79 42 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 8 6 AB 21 14 2 BC 33 6 3 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Research Co. federal poll February 5, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Research Co.




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 54% ▲15 LPC 37% CPC 4% ▲3 GPC 3% ▼18 NDP 1% ▲1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-02-05 338Canada.com
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Quebec 43% LPC 29% ▲1 BQ 17% ▼6 CPC 5% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲2 PPC 2% ▲1 GPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-02-05 338Canada.com
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Ontario 46% ▼2 LPC 38% ▼1 CPC 8% ▲1 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-02-05 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 42% ▲8 LPC 38% ▼17 CPC 15% ▲8 NDP 5% ▲4 GPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-02-05 338Canada.com
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Alberta 44% ▼12 CPC 34% ▲2 LPC 18% ▲9 NDP 3% ▲2 GPC 1% PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-02-05 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 46% ▼3 LPC 33% ▼3 CPC 15% ▲5 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-02-05 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 46% ▲1 LPC 31% ▼5 CPC 12% ▲4 NDP 4% ▼1 BQ 4% ▲1 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-02-05 338Canada.com
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Male voters 44% ▲3 LPC 34% ▼6 CPC 9% ▲1 BQ 7% ▼1 NDP 3% ▲2 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-02-05 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 41% ▼1 LPC 31% ▼2 CPC 14% ▲2 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-02-05 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 40% ▲3 LPC 34% ▼12 CPC 12% ▲6 NDP 7% BQ 4% ▲3 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-02-05 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 51% ▲1 LPC 32% ▼3 CPC 7% BQ 6% ▲1 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-02-05 338Canada.com
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Preferred PM 44% Carney 25% ▼6 Poilievre 19% ▲5 Don't know 4% ▲1 Davies 4% ▲1 May 3% ▼1 Blanchet 2% ▲1 Bernier Research Co. federal poll | 2026-02-05 338Canada.com
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Research Co. Preferred PM tracker 44% 25%2026-02-05 44% 31%2025-09-11 47% 31%2025-07-01 ◻︎Carney ◻︎Others ◻︎Don't know ◻︎Poilievre
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Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 55% ▼1 Positive / favourable 37% Negative / unfavourable 8% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Research Co. federal poll | 2026-02-05 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 55% 37%2026-02-05 56% 37%2025-09-11 61% 32%2025-07-01 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 51% ▲6 Negative / unfavourable 39% ▼8 Positive / favourable 10% ▲2 Neutral / Unsure Research Co. federal poll | 2026-02-05 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 39% 51%2026-02-05 47% 45%2025-09-11 44% 48%2025-07-01 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Don Davies 36% ▲3 Neutral / Unsure 36% ▼3 Negative / unfavourable 28% Positive / favourable Research Co. federal poll | 2026-02-05 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Don Davies 28% 36%2026-02-05 28% 39%2025-09-11 21% 40%2025-07-01 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Elizabeth May 39% ▼3 Negative / unfavourable 32% ▼1 Positive / favourable 29% ▲4 Neutral / Unsure Research Co. federal poll | 2026-02-05 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Elizabeth May 32% 39%2026-02-05 33% 42%2025-09-11 34% 42%2025-07-01 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Yves-François Blanchet 45% ▲1 Positive / favourable 44% Negative / unfavourable 11% ▼1 Neutral / Unsure Research Co. federal poll | 2026-02-05 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Yves-François Blanchet 45% 44%2026-02-05 44% 44%2025-09-11 44% 43%2025-07-01 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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