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About this EKOS federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by EKOS in October 2025, with a middle field date of October 23, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,199 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.8%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from EKOS (September 2025), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 42% to 44% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party loses two points from 34% to 32% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▲2 LPC 32% ▼2 CPC 12% ▼1 NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-10-23 338Canada.com
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223 LPC 79 CPC 24 BQ 15 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 10 QC 42 24 11 1 ON 97 21 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 9 5 AB 26 9 2 BC 29 7 6 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on EKOS federal poll October 23, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from EKOS




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 61% ▲1 LPC 19% ▼10 CPC 14% ▲5 NDP 4% ▲4 GPC 1% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-10-23 338Canada.com
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Quebec 38% ▼4 LPC 26% ▲2 BQ 24% ▲5 CPC 9% NDP 2% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-10-23 338Canada.com
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Ontario 49% ▲1 LPC 33% ▼1 CPC 12% NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-10-23 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 39% ▼4 CPC 35% ▼4 LPC 17% ▲3 NDP 4% ▲3 PPC 1% GPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-10-23 338Canada.com
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Alberta 50% ▼6 CPC 30% ▲3 LPC 12% ▲4 NDP 5% ▲2 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-10-23 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 44% ▲11 LPC 34% ▼2 CPC 15% ▼10 NDP 5% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-10-23 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 49% LPC 27% CPC 14% ▼1 NDP 5% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-10-23 338Canada.com
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Male voters 39% ▲3 LPC 38% ▼3 CPC 11% NDP 7% ▲2 BQ 3% PPC 2% ▼1 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-10-23 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 38% LPC 25% CPC 25% NDP 5% BQ 4% GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-10-23 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 41% CPC 33% LPC 13% NDP 5% BQ 3% GPC 3% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-10-23 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 48% LPC 34% CPC 7% NDP 5% BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-10-23 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 57% LPC 28% CPC 8% BQ 5% NDP 1% GPC 1% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-10-23 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 53% Positive / favourable 38% Negative / unfavourable 9% Neutral / Unsure EKOS federal poll | 2025-10-23 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 53% 38%2025-10-23 53% 38%2025-09-09 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 64% Negative / unfavourable 28% Positive / favourable 8% Neutral / Unsure EKOS federal poll | 2025-10-23 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 28% 64%2025-10-23 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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