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About this Mainstreet Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Mainstreet Research in September 2025, with a middle field date of September 13, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=958 Canadian respondents via text message to online survey.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

This poll was conducted entirely in Ontario.

If we compare these Ontario numbers with the previous poll from Mainstreet Research (August 2025), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 46% to 48% (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party climbs three points from 38% to 41% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party loses three points from 9% to 6% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Ontario 48% LPC 41% CPC 6% NDP 2% GPC 2% PPC Mainstreet Research federal poll (Ontario only) | 2025-09-13 338Canada.com

Past polls from Mainstreet Research




Breakdown by gender

Female voters 49% LPC 41% CPC 6% NDP 2% GPC 2% PPC Mainstreet Research federal poll (Ontario only) | 2025-09-13 338Canada.com
Male voters 48% LPC 42% CPC 6% NDP 2% PPC 1% GPC Mainstreet Research federal poll (Ontario only) | 2025-09-13 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 51% CPC 37% LPC 9% NDP 1% PPC Mainstreet Research federal poll (Ontario only) | 2025-09-13 338Canada.com
35-49 years old 51% LPC 41% CPC 5% PPC 3% NDP Mainstreet Research federal poll (Ontario only) | 2025-09-13 338Canada.com

50-64 years old 50% LPC 34% CPC 8% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC Mainstreet Research federal poll (Ontario only) | 2025-09-13 338Canada.com
65+ years old 55% LPC 40% CPC 3% NDP 2% PPC Mainstreet Research federal poll (Ontario only) | 2025-09-13 338Canada.com







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