338Canada.com | Poll Analysis & Electoral Projections




Last update: October 24, 2021

Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projection Last election (2019)
35 13 5 7 60
[45-71]		 24
9 10 3 5 27
[16-42]		 63
0 0 0 0 0
[0-0]		 0
0 0 0 0 0
[0-0]		 0



Electoral district Current party Latest projection
001 Calgary-Acadia NDP likely
002 Calgary-Beddington NDP safe
003 Calgary-Bow NDP likely
004 Calgary-Buffalo NDP safe
005 Calgary-Cross NDP safe
006 Calgary-Currie NDP safe
007 Calgary-East NDP safe
008 Calgary-Edgemont NDP likely
009 Calgary-Elbow NDP leaning
010 Calgary-Falconridge NDP safe
011 Calgary-Fish Creek NDP leaning
012 Calgary-Foothills NDP likely
013 Calgary-Glenmore NDP likely
014 Calgary-Hays Toss up UCP/NDP
015 Calgary-Klein NDP safe
016 Calgary-Lougheed Toss up UCP/NDP
017 Calgary-McCall NDP safe
018 Calgary-Mountain View NDP safe
019 Calgary-North NDP likely
020 Calgary-North East NDP safe
021 Calgary-North West NDP likely
022 Calgary-Peigan NDP leaning
023 Calgary-Shaw Toss up UCP/NDP
024 Calgary-South East Toss up UCP/NDP
025 Calgary-Varsity NDP safe
026 Calgary-West Toss up UCP/NDP
027 Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview NDP safe
028 Edmonton-Castle Downs NDP safe
029 Edmonton-City Centre NDP safe
030 Edmonton-Decore NDP safe
031 Edmonton-Ellerslie NDP safe
032 Edmonton-Glenora NDP safe
033 Edmonton-Gold Bar NDP safe
034 Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood NDP safe
035 Edmonton-Manning NDP safe
036 Edmonton-McClung NDP safe
037 Edmonton-Meadows NDP safe
038 Edmonton-Mill Woods NDP safe
039 Edmonton-North West NDP safe
040 Edmonton-Riverview NDP safe
041 Edmonton-Rutherford NDP safe
042 Edmonton-South NDP safe
043 Edmonton-South West NDP likely
044 Edmonton-Strathcona NDP safe
045 Edmonton-West Henday NDP safe
046 Edmonton-Whitemud NDP safe
047 Airdrie-Cochrane Toss up UCP/NDP
048 Airdrie East UCP likely
049 Athabasca-Barrhead UCP likely
050 Banff-Kananaskis NDP safe
051 Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul UCP safe
052 Brooks-Medicine Hat UCP likely
053 Camrose UCP likely
054 Cardston-Siksika UCP likely
055 Central Peace-Notley UCP likely
056 Chestermere-Strathmore UCP likely
057 Cypress-Medicine Hat Toss up UCP/NDP
058 Drayton Valley-Devon UCP likely
059 Drumheller-Stettler UCP safe
060 Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche Toss up UCP/NDP
061 Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo UCP leaning
062 Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville NDP likely
063 Grande Prairie Toss up UCP/NDP
064 Grande Prairie-Wapiti UCP safe
065 Highwood UCP likely
066 Innisfail-Sylvan Lake UCP safe
067 Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland Toss up UCP/NDP
068 Lacombe-Ponoka UCP safe
069 Leduc-Beaumont NDP likely
070 Lesser Slave Lake NDP likely
071 Lethbridge-East NDP likely
072 Lethbridge-West NDP safe
073 Livingston-Macleod UCP likely
074 Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin Toss up UCP/NDP
075 Morinville-St. Albert NDP safe
076 Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills UCP safe
077 Peace River UCP leaning
078 Red Deer-North Toss up UCP/NDP
079 Red Deer-South NDP leaning
080 Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre UCP safe
081 Sherwood Park NDP safe
082 Spruce Grove-Stony Plain NDP leaning
083 St. Albert NDP safe
084 Strathcona-Sherwood Park NDP likely
085 Taber-Warner UCP safe
086 Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright UCP safe
087 West Yellowhead UCP leaning
Electoral district
001 Calgary-Acadia
002 Calgary-Beddington
003 Calgary-Bow
004 Calgary-Buffalo
005 Calgary-Cross
006 Calgary-Currie
007 Calgary-East
008 Calgary-Edgemont
009 Calgary-Elbow
010 Calgary-Falconridge
011 Calgary-Fish Creek
012 Calgary-Foothills
013 Calgary-Glenmore
014 Calgary-Hays
015 Calgary-Klein
016 Calgary-Lougheed
017 Calgary-McCall
018 Calgary-Mountain View
019 Calgary-North
020 Calgary-North East
021 Calgary-North West
022 Calgary-Peigan
023 Calgary-Shaw
024 Calgary-South East
025 Calgary-Varsity
026 Calgary-West
027 Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview
028 Edmonton-Castle Downs
029 Edmonton-City Centre
030 Edmonton-Decore
031 Edmonton-Ellerslie
032 Edmonton-Glenora
033 Edmonton-Gold Bar
034 Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood
035 Edmonton-Manning
036 Edmonton-McClung
037 Edmonton-Meadows
038 Edmonton-Mill Woods
039 Edmonton-North West
040 Edmonton-Riverview
041 Edmonton-Rutherford
042 Edmonton-South
043 Edmonton-South West
044 Edmonton-Strathcona
045 Edmonton-West Henday
046 Edmonton-Whitemud
047 Airdrie-Cochrane
048 Airdrie East
049 Athabasca-Barrhead
050 Banff-Kananaskis
051 Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul
052 Brooks-Medicine Hat
053 Camrose
054 Cardston-Siksika
055 Central Peace-Notley
056 Chestermere-Strathmore
057 Cypress-Medicine Hat
058 Drayton Valley-Devon
059 Drumheller-Stettler
060 Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche
061 Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo
062 Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville
063 Grande Prairie
064 Grande Prairie-Wapiti
065 Highwood
066 Innisfail-Sylvan Lake
067 Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland
068 Lacombe-Ponoka
069 Leduc-Beaumont
070 Lesser Slave Lake
071 Lethbridge-East
072 Lethbridge-West
073 Livingston-Macleod
074 Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin
075 Morinville-St. Albert
076 Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills
077 Peace River
078 Red Deer-North
079 Red Deer-South
080 Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre
081 Sherwood Park
082 Spruce Grove-Stony Plain
083 St. Albert
084 Strathcona-Sherwood Park
085 Taber-Warner
086 Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright
087 West Yellowhead




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