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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul


2019 2023 Projection UCP 63% ± 7% 73.1% 75.5% NDP 30% ± 6% 14.1% 24.5% REP 4% ± 3% 0.0% 0.0% PTPA 1% ± 2% 10.2% 0.0%

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338Canada Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul projection

Latest update: October 19, 2026

Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul 55% 70% 63% ± 7% UCP 24% 36% 30% ± 6% ▲ NDP 0% 7% 4% ± 3% ▲ REP UCP 2023 75.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 19, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul >99% UCP <1% NDP <1% REPOdds of winning | October 19, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul

Odds of winning | Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul