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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Calgary-North


2019 2023 Projection UCP 50% ± 8% 55.8% 50.4% NDP 46% ± 8% 30.7% 49.6% PTPA 3% ± 3% 10.4% 0.0%

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338Canada Calgary-North projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Calgary-North 42% 57% 50% ± 8% UCP 39% 54% 46% ± 8% NDP UCP 2023 50.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-North 68%▲ UCP 32%▼ NDP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Calgary-North

UCP 50% ± 8% NDP 46% ± 8% PTPA 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Calgary-North 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP 52% NDP 46% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 52% NDP 46% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 52% NDP 46% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 52% NDP 46% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 55% NDP 43% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 54% NDP 43% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 52% NDP 43% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 52% NDP 44% PTPA 3% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP 49% NDP 47% PTPA 3% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP 50% NDP 46% PTPA 3% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Calgary-North

LIB <1% UCP 68% NDP 32% PTPA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP 67% NDP 33% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 51% UCP 49% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 74% NDP 26% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 78% NDP 22% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 75% NDP 25% PTPA <1% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 79% NDP 21% PTPA <1% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 79% NDP 21% PTPA <1% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 94% NDP 6% PTPA <1% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP 93% NDP 7% PTPA <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP 89% NDP 11% PTPA <1% 2026-02-08 2024-03-19 UCP 87% NDP 13% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 57% NDP 43% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 68% NDP 32% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09