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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Red Deer-North


2019 2023 Projection UCP 49% ± 7% 60.7% 57.5% NDP 41% ± 7% 23.1% 38.6% REP 6% ± 4% 0.0% 0.0% PTPA 1% ± 2% 13.2% 0.0%

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338Canada Red Deer-North projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Red Deer-North 42% 56% 49% ± 7% UCP 34% 48% 41% ± 7% NDP 2% 10% 6% ± 4% REP UCP 2023 57.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Red Deer-North 87%▲ UCP 13%▼ NDP <1% REPOdds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Red Deer-North

UCP 49% ± 7% NDP 41% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Red Deer-North 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP REP February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP 55% NDP 41% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 55% NDP 41% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 55% NDP 40% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 55% NDP 40% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 56% NDP 40% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 55% NDP 41% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 52% NDP 39% REP 7% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 51% NDP 39% REP 6% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP 48% NDP 42% REP 6% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP 49% NDP 41% REP 6% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Red Deer-North

LIB <1% UCP 87% NDP 13% PTPA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 97% NDP 3% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 95% NDP 5% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 97% NDP 3% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 98% NDP 2% PTPA <1% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 99% NDP 1% PTPA <1% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 99% NDP 1% PTPA <1% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 99% NDP 1% PTPA <1% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP 98% NDP 2% PTPA <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP 97% NDP 3% PTPA <1% 2026-02-08 2024-03-19 UCP 96% NDP 4% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 80% NDP 20% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 87% NDP 13% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09