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Alberta

Central Alberta, 14 districts


Latest update: May 30, 2025
Central Alberta 66% ± 4% UCP 28% ± 4% NDP 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Central Alberta, 14 districts 14 [14-14] UCP 0 [0-0] NDP 0 [0-0] ABP 0 [0-0] WIP 338Canada seat projection | May 30, 2025
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Central Alberta

UCP 66% ± 4% NDP 28% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Central Alberta 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 UCP NDP May 30, 2025 2024-03-19 UCP 64% NDP 30% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 65% NDP 28% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 66% NDP 28% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 66% NDP 28% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 66% NDP 28% 2025-05-30

Seat projection | Central Alberta

UCP 14 [14-14] NDP 0 [0-0] Seat projection | Central Alberta 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 UCP NDP May 30, 2025 2024-03-19 UCP 14 NDP 0 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 14 NDP 0 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 14 NDP 0 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 14 NDP 0 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 14 NDP 0 2025-05-30

Seat projection | Central Alberta


Latest update: May 30, 2025
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2023)
12 2 0 0 14 14
0 0 0 0 0 0

List of electoral districts | Central Alberta


Latest update: May 30, 2025
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
1053 Camrose Safe UCP
1058 Drayton Valley-Devon Safe UCP
1059 Drumheller-Stettler Safe UCP
1066 Innisfail-Sylvan Lake Safe UCP
1068 Lacombe-Ponoka Safe UCP
1069 Leduc-Beaumont Safe UCP
1074 Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin Safe UCP
1076 Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills Safe UCP
1078 Red Deer-North Likely UCP
1079 Red Deer-South Likely UCP
1080 Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre Safe UCP
1082 Spruce Grove-Stony Plain Safe UCP
1084 Strathcona-Sherwood Park Safe UCP
1086 Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright Safe UCP