logo
Alberta

Chestermere-Strathmore


MLA: Chantelle De Jonge, (UCP)

Latest projection: July 7, 2024
Safe UCP
Chestermere-Strathmore 71% ± 6% UCP 25% ± 6% NDP UCP 2023 70.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | July 7, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Chestermere-Strathmore >99% UCP <1% NDP <1% ABP Odds of winning | July 7, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).



Popular vote projection | Chestermere-Strathmore

UCP 71% ± 6% NDP 25% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Chestermere-Strathmore 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP July 7, 2024 2023-05-03 UCP 62% NDP 27% 2023-05-03 2023-05-04 UCP 59% NDP 30% 2023-05-04 2023-05-05 UCP 59% NDP 30% 2023-05-05 2023-05-06 UCP 59% NDP 29% 2023-05-06 2023-05-08 UCP 61% NDP 27% 2023-05-08 2023-05-10 UCP 61% NDP 27% 2023-05-10 2023-05-13 UCP 62% NDP 36% 2023-05-13 2023-05-14 UCP 65% NDP 33% 2023-05-14 2023-05-15 UCP 67% NDP 31% 2023-05-15 2023-05-16 UCP 67% NDP 31% 2023-05-16 2023-05-17 UCP 67% NDP 31% 2023-05-17 2023-05-18 UCP 67% NDP 31% 2023-05-18 2023-05-19 UCP 68% NDP 30% 2023-05-19 2023-05-21 UCP 68% NDP 30% 2023-05-21 2023-05-22 UCP 68% NDP 30% 2023-05-22 2023-05-23 UCP 68% NDP 30% 2023-05-23 2023-05-24 UCP 68% NDP 30% 2023-05-24 2023-05-25 UCP 68% NDP 30% 2023-05-25 2023-05-26 UCP 68% NDP 30% 2023-05-26 2023-05-27 UCP 68% NDP 30% 2023-05-27 2023-05-28 UCP 68% NDP 30% 2023-05-28 2023-05-31 UCP 71% NDP 27% 2023-05-31 2023-10-07 UCP 71% NDP 27% 2023-10-07 2023-11-09 UCP 69% NDP 28% 2023-11-09 2024-01-20 UCP 71% NDP 26% 2024-01-20 2024-03-19 UCP 71% NDP 25% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 71% NDP 25% 2024-07-07

Odds of winning | Chestermere-Strathmore

UCP >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP July 7, 2024 2023-05-03 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-03 2023-05-04 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-04 2023-05-05 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-05 2023-05-06 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-06 2023-05-08 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-08 2023-05-10 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-10 2023-05-13 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-13 2023-05-14 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-14 2023-05-15 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-15 2023-05-16 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-16 2023-05-17 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-17 2023-05-18 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-18 2023-05-19 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-19 2023-05-21 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-21 2023-05-22 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-22 2023-05-23 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-23 2023-05-24 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-24 2023-05-25 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-25 2023-05-26 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-26 2023-05-27 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-27 2023-05-28 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-28 2023-05-31 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-31 2023-10-07 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-10-07 2023-11-09 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-11-09 2024-01-20 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2024-01-20 2024-03-19 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2024-07-07

Recent electoral history | Chestermere-Strathmore



2019 2023 Proj. UCP 68.0% 70.6% 71% ± 6% NDP 16.1% 26.7% 25% ± 6% ABP 6.4% 0.0% 1% ± 1% LIB 1.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%