logo
Alberta


Calgary-Buffalo


MLA: Joe Ceci, (NDP)


Latest projection: November 9, 2023

Safe NDP
Calgary-Buffalo 62% ± 7%▲ 33% ± 6%▼ NDP 2023 63.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 9, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Calgary-Buffalo >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | November 9, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).



Popular vote projection | Calgary-Buffalo

UCP 33% ± 6% NDP 62% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Calgary-Buffalo 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-06-01 2023-07-01 2023-08-01 2023-09-01 2023-10-01 2023-11-01 2023-12-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-02-01 2024-03-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

Odds of winning | Calgary-Buffalo

UCP <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-06-01 2023-07-01 2023-08-01 2023-09-01 2023-10-01 2023-11-01 2023-12-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-02-01 2024-03-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Buffalo



2019 2023 Proj. NDP 48.7% 63.0% 62% ± 7% UCP 39.4% 33.9% 33% ± 6% GPA 1.9% 2.5% 2% ± 3% ABP 6.9% 0.0% 1% ± 1% LIB 2.6% 0.0% 1% ± 1%