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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Edmonton-Rutherford


2019 2023 Projection NDP 55% ± 7% 54.8% 64.2% UCP 34% ± 6% 34.9% 31.8% GPA 6% ± 4% 0.9% 4.0% PTPA 2% ± 2% 7.1% 0.0%

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338Canada Edmonton-Rutherford projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Edmonton-Rutherford 48% 63% 55% ± 7% NDP 28% 41% 34% ± 6% UCP 2% 10% 6% ± 4% GPA NDP 2023 64.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton-Rutherford >99% NDP <1% UCP <1% GPA Odds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Edmonton-Rutherford

Odds of winning | Edmonton-Rutherford