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Alberta

Recent electoral history | St. Albert


2019 2023 Projection NDP 52% ± 7% 46.2% 58.5% UCP 42% ± 7% 40.0% 39.7% PTPA 1% ± 1% 10.6% 0.0%

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338Canada St. Albert projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

St. Albert 45% 58% 52% ± 7% NDP 35% 48% 42% ± 7% UCP NDP 2023 58.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% St. Albert 93%▼ NDP 7%▲ UCP <1% REPOdds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | St. Albert

UCP 42% ± 7% NDP 52% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | St. Albert 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 NDP 57% UCP 41% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 52% UCP 46% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 51% UCP 47% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 NDP 51% UCP 47% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 NDP 50% UCP 48% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 NDP 51% UCP 47% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 NDP 50% UCP 45% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 NDP 49% UCP 44% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP 52% UCP 41% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 NDP 52% UCP 42% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | St. Albert

LIB <1% UCP 7% NDP 93% PTPA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 NDP >99% UCP <1% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP >99% UCP <1% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 99% UCP 1% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 NDP 99% UCP 1% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 NDP 78% UCP 22% PTPA <1% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 NDP 73% UCP 27% PTPA <1% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 NDP 73% UCP 27% PTPA <1% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 NDP 63% UCP 37% PTPA <1% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP 68% UCP 32% PTPA <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 NDP 76% UCP 24% PTPA <1% 2026-02-08 2024-03-19 NDP 78% UCP 22% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 96% UCP 4% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 93% UCP 7% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09