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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Edmonton-Castle Downs


2019 2023 Projection NDP 47% ± 7% 45.8% 55.0% UCP 43% ± 7% 36.0% 41.1% PTPA 7% ± 5% 15.4% 3.9%

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338Canada Edmonton-Castle Downs projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Edmonton-Castle Downs 39% 54% 47% ± 7% NDP 36% 50% 43% ± 7% UCP 2% 12% 7% ± 5% PTPA NDP 2023 55.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton-Castle Downs 69%▼ NDP 31%▲ UCP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Edmonton-Castle Downs

Odds of winning | Edmonton-Castle Downs