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Recent electoral history | Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville


2019 2023 Projection UCP 50% ± 7% 53.8% 57.9% NDP 40% ± 7% 29.2% 37.4% REP 8% ± 4% 0.0% 0.0% PTPA 1% ± 2% 12.7% 0.0%

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338Canada Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville 43% 56% 50% ± 7% UCP 34% 47% 40% ± 7% NDP 3% 12% 8% ± 4% REP UCP 2023 57.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville 93%▲ UCP 7%▼ NDP <1% REPOdds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville

UCP 50% ± 7% NDP 40% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP REP February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP 55% NDP 40% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 55% NDP 39% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 56% NDP 39% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 56% NDP 39% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 56% NDP 39% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 55% NDP 39% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 52% NDP 38% REP 9% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 52% NDP 38% REP 7% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP 49% NDP 41% REP 8% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP 50% NDP 40% REP 8% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville

LIB <1% UCP 93% NDP 7% PTPA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 99% NDP 1% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 98% NDP 2% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 99% NDP 1% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 99% NDP 1% PTPA <1% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP 99% NDP 1% PTPA <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP 99% NDP 1% PTPA <1% 2026-02-08 2024-03-19 UCP 99% NDP 1% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 89% NDP 11% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 93% NDP 7% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09