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Alberta

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Northern Alberta

14 provincial districts
Latest update: February 8, 2026

Northern Alberta 53% 63% 58% ± 5% UCP 27% 36% 32% ± 4% NDP 3% 9% 6% ± 3% REP 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. Details on 338Canada’s methodology are available here.
Northern Alberta, 14 federal districts 14 [13-14] UCP 0 ▼ [0-1] NDP 338Canada seat projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current range from worst- to best-case outcomes. Values near the centre of the distribution are more likely than the extremes, as the results follow Gaussian-like (bell-curve) distributions. Does it work? See 338Canada’s full record here.

Popular vote projection | Northern Alberta

UCP 58% ± 5% NDP 32% ± 4% REP 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Northern Alberta 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP REP February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP 63% NDP 33% REP 0% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 65% NDP 31% REP 0% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 65% NDP 31% REP 0% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 65% NDP 31% REP 0% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 65% NDP 31% REP 0% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 65% NDP 31% REP 0% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 61% NDP 30% REP 7% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 61% NDP 30% REP 6% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP 57% NDP 32% REP 6% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP 58% NDP 32% REP 6% 2026-02-08

Seat projection | Northern Alberta

UCP 14 [13-14] NDP 0 [0-1] Seat projection | Northern Alberta 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP 13 NDP 1 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 14 NDP 0 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 14 NDP 0 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 14 NDP 0 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 14 NDP 0 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 14 NDP 0 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 14 NDP 0 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 14 NDP 0 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP 13 NDP 1 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP 14 NDP 0 2026-02-08

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List of districts | Northern Alberta
Latest update: February 8, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Glenn Van Dijken
C Safe UCP
C Safe UCP
Todd Loewen
C Safe UCP
C Safe UCP
C Safe UCP
Jackie Armstrong-Homeniuk
C Likely UCP
Nolan Dyck
C Likely UCP
C Safe UCP
Shane Getson
C Safe UCP
Scott Sinclair [Elected as UCP]
I Likely UCP
C Likely UCP
Dan Williams
C Safe UCP
Kyle Kasawski
N Toss up UCP/NDP
Martin Long
C Safe UCP