Northern Alberta
14 provincial districts
Latest update: February 8, 2026
Seat and vote projections — Northern Alberta
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Northern Alberta
14 provincial districts
Latest update: February 8, 2026
Methodology note.
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. Details on 338Canada’s methodology are available here.
Methodology note.
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current range from worst- to best-case outcomes. Values near the centre of the distribution are more likely than the extremes, as the results follow Gaussian-like (bell-curve) distributions.
Does it work? See 338Canada’s full record here.
List of districts | Northern Alberta
Latest update: February 8, 2026
| Electoral districts | Current party |
Projection |
|---|---|---|
Glenn Van Dijken
|
Safe UCP | |
Scott Cyr
|
Safe UCP | |
Todd Loewen
|
Safe UCP | |
Brian Jean
|
Safe UCP | |
Tany Yao
|
Safe UCP | |
Jackie Armstrong-Homeniuk
|
Likely UCP | |
Nolan Dyck
|
Likely UCP | |
Ron Wiebe
|
Safe UCP | |
Shane Getson
|
Safe UCP | |
Scott Sinclair [Elected as UCP]
|
Likely UCP | |
Dale Nally
|
Likely UCP | |
Dan Williams
|
Safe UCP | |
Kyle Kasawski
|
Toss up UCP/NDP | |
Martin Long
|
Safe UCP |