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Alberta

Northern Alberta, 14 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2023)
10 2 1 0 13 13
0 0 1 0 1 1
Projected ahead Last election (2023)
13 13
1 1




Projection | the Northern Alberta


Latest update: November 9, 2023
Northern Alberta 63% ± 4% 33% ± 4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 9, 2023
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Northern Alberta, 14 districts 13 [12-14] 1 [0-2] 0 [0-0] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | November 9, 2023
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Northern Alberta

UCP 63% ± 4% NDP 33% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Northern Alberta 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-06-01 2023-07-01 2023-08-01 2023-09-01 2023-10-01 2023-11-01 2023-12-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-02-01 2024-03-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

Seat projection | Northern Alberta

UCP 13 [12-14] NDP 1 [0-2] Seat projection | Northern Alberta 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2023-05-01 2023-06-01 2023-07-01 2023-08-01 2023-09-01 2023-10-01 2023-11-01 2023-12-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-02-01 2024-03-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

List of electoral districts


Latest update: November 9, 2023
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
049 Athabasca-Barrhead-Westlock Safe UCP
051 Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul Safe UCP
055 Central Peace-Notley Safe UCP
060 Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche Safe UCP
061 Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo Safe UCP
062 Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville Likely UCP
063 Grande Prairie Safe UCP
064 Grande Prairie-Wapiti Safe UCP
067 Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland Safe UCP
070 Lesser Slave Lake Likely UCP
075 Morinville-St. Albert Leaning UCP
077 Peace River Safe UCP
081 Sherwood Park Leaning NDP
087 West Yellowhead Safe UCP
Electoral district
049 Athabasca-Barrhead-Westlock
051 Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul
055 Central Peace-Notley
060 Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche
061 Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo
062 Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville
063 Grande Prairie
064 Grande Prairie-Wapiti
067 Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland
070 Lesser Slave Lake
075 Morinville-St. Albert
077 Peace River
081 Sherwood Park
087 West Yellowhead