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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Lethbridge-East


2019 2023 Projection NDP 47% ± 7% 38.7% 47.2% UCP 42% ± 7% 52.4% 50.6% REP 6% ± 4% 0.0% 0.0% PTPA 4% ± 4% 4.7% 2.2%

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338Canada Lethbridge-East projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Lethbridge-East 40% 54% 47% ± 7% NDP 35% 49% 42% ± 7% UCP 2% 10% 6% ± 4% REP 0% 8% 4% ± 4% PTPA UCP 2023 50.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Lethbridge-East 78%▼ NDP 22%▲ UCP <1% REPOdds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Lethbridge-East

UCP 42% ± 7% NDP 47% ± 7% PTPA 4% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Lethbridge-East 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA REP February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP 49% NDP 48% PTPA 3% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 49% NDP 48% PTPA 3% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 50% NDP 47% PTPA 3% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 50% NDP 47% PTPA 3% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 49% NDP 47% PTPA 3% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 49% NDP 48% PTPA 3% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 NDP 45% UCP 45% REP 7% PTPA 3% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 NDP 45% UCP 44% REP 6% PTPA 4% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP 48% UCP 41% REP 6% PTPA 4% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 NDP 47% UCP 42% REP 6% PTPA 4% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Lethbridge-East

LIB <1% UCP 22% NDP 78% PTPA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP 74% NDP 26% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 51% NDP 49% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 61% UCP 39% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 51% NDP 49% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 56% NDP 44% PTPA <1% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 62% NDP 38% PTPA <1% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 62% NDP 38% PTPA <1% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 61% NDP 39% PTPA <1% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP 56% NDP 44% PTPA <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 NDP 51% UCP 49% PTPA <1% 2026-02-08 2024-03-19 NDP 54% UCP 46% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 86% UCP 14% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 78% UCP 22% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09