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Recent electoral history | Strathcona-Sherwood Park


2019 2023 Projection UCP 56% ± 7% 52.5% 53.1% NDP 39% ± 7% 32.3% 44.6% PTPA 1% ± 1% 13.4% 0.0%

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338Canada Strathcona-Sherwood Park projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Strathcona-Sherwood Park 49% 63% 56% ± 7% UCP 33% 46% 39% ± 7% NDP UCP 2023 53.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Strathcona-Sherwood Park >99%▲ UCP <1%▼ NDP <1% REPOdds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Strathcona-Sherwood Park

UCP 56% ± 7% NDP 39% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Strathcona-Sherwood Park 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP 55% NDP 43% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 60% NDP 38% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 60% NDP 38% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 60% NDP 38% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 61% NDP 37% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 61% NDP 37% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 59% NDP 37% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 58% NDP 37% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP 55% NDP 40% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP 56% NDP 39% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Strathcona-Sherwood Park

LIB <1% UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP 94% NDP 6% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 89% NDP 11% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 95% NDP 5% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 95% NDP 5% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% 2026-02-08 2024-03-19 UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 99% NDP 1% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09