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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Foothills


2019 2023 Projection UCP 48% ± 7% 57.0% 48.7% NDP 47% ± 7% 32.4% 49.9% PTPA 3% ± 3% 7.8% 0.0%

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338Canada Calgary-Foothills projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Calgary-Foothills 41% 55% 48% ± 7% UCP 40% 54% 47% ± 7% NDP NDP 2023 49.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-Foothills 58%▲ UCP 42%▼ NDP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Calgary-Foothills

UCP 48% ± 7% NDP 47% ± 7% PTPA 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Calgary-Foothills 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP 50% NDP 46% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 50% NDP 47% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 50% NDP 46% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 50% NDP 46% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 53% NDP 43% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 53% NDP 44% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 51% NDP 44% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 51% NDP 45% PTPA 3% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP 48% UCP 48% PTPA 3% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP 48% NDP 47% PTPA 3% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Calgary-Foothills

LIB <1% UCP 58% NDP 42% PTPA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP 56% NDP 44% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 62% UCP 38% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 65% NDP 35% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 70% NDP 30% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 67% NDP 33% PTPA <1% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 73% NDP 27% PTPA <1% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 73% NDP 27% PTPA <1% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 93% NDP 7% PTPA <1% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP 91% NDP 9% PTPA <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP 85% NDP 15% PTPA <1% 2026-02-08 2024-03-19 UCP 82% NDP 18% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 53% UCP 47% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 58% NDP 42% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09