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Alberta


Sherwood Park


MLA: Kyle Kasawski, (NDP)


Latest projection: November 9, 2023

Leaning NDP
Sherwood Park 50% ± 7% 44% ± 7% 5% ± 5% NDP 2023 50.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 9, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Sherwood Park 84%▼ 16%▲ <1% Odds of winning | November 9, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).



Popular vote projection | Sherwood Park

UCP 44% ± 7% NDP 50% ± 7% ABP 5% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Sherwood Park 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-06-01 2023-07-01 2023-08-01 2023-09-01 2023-10-01 2023-11-01 2023-12-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-02-01 2024-03-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP ABP

Odds of winning | Sherwood Park

UCP 16% NDP 84% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-06-01 2023-07-01 2023-08-01 2023-09-01 2023-10-01 2023-11-01 2023-12-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-02-01 2024-03-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

Recent electoral history | Sherwood Park



2019 2023 Proj. NDP 40.6% 50.3% 50% ± 7% UCP 44.3% 43.9% 44% ± 7% ABP 13.5% 5.0% 5% ± 5% LIB 0.0% 0.9% 1% ± 1%