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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Sherwood Park


2019 2023 Projection UCP 45% ± 7% 44.3% 43.9% NDP 43% ± 7% 40.6% 50.3% PTPA 8% ± 5% 13.5% 5.0%

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338Canada Sherwood Park projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Sherwood Park 38% 52% 45% ± 7% UCP 37% 50% 43% ± 7% NDP 3% 14% 8% ± 5% PTPA NDP 2023 50.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Sherwood Park 62%▲ UCP 38%▼ NDP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Sherwood Park

UCP 45% ± 7% NDP 43% ± 7% PTPA 8% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Sherwood Park 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 NDP 48% UCP 45% PTPA 7% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 50% NDP 43% PTPA 6% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 50% NDP 43% PTPA 6% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 50% NDP 43% PTPA 6% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 51% NDP 42% PTPA 6% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 50% NDP 42% PTPA 7% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 48% NDP 41% PTPA 7% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 48% NDP 41% PTPA 8% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP 44% UCP 44% PTPA 9% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP 45% NDP 43% PTPA 8% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Sherwood Park

LIB <1% UCP 62% NDP 38% PTPA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 NDP 89% UCP 11% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 84% UCP 16% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 71% UCP 29% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 NDP 70% UCP 30% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 85% NDP 15% PTPA <1% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 88% NDP 12% PTPA <1% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 88% NDP 12% PTPA <1% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 93% NDP 7% PTPA <1% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP 90% NDP 10% PTPA <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP 86% NDP 14% PTPA <1% 2026-02-08 2024-03-19 UCP 84% NDP 16% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 50% NDP 50% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 62% NDP 38% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09