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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Cross


2019 2023 Projection UCP 47% ± 8% 54.3% 50.0% NDP 44% ± 8% 37.3% 46.5% GPA 4% ± 4% 0.0% 2.1% PTPA 3% ± 3% 5.9% 0.0%

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338Canada Calgary-Cross projection

Latest update: September 26, 2026

Calgary-Cross 39% 55% 47% ± 8% ▼ UCP 36% 51% 44% ± 8% ▲ NDP 0% 7% 4% ± 4% GPA UCP 2023 50.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 26, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-Cross 66%▼ UCP 34%▲ NDP <1% GPA Odds of winning | September 26, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Calgary-Cross

Odds of winning | Calgary-Cross