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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Edgemont


2019 2023 Projection UCP 46% ± 7% 52.8% 48.1% NDP 45% ± 7% 34.0% 49.3% PTPA 6% ± 4% 10.9% 2.1%

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338Canada Calgary-Edgemont projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Calgary-Edgemont 39% 52% 46% ± 7% UCP 39% 52% 45% ± 7% NDP 2% 10% 6% ± 4% PTPA NDP 2023 49.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-Edgemont 51%▲ UCP 49%▼ NDP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Calgary-Edgemont

UCP 46% ± 7% NDP 45% ± 7% PTPA 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Calgary-Edgemont 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP 49% NDP 47% PTPA 3% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 49% NDP 47% PTPA 3% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 50% NDP 46% PTPA 3% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 50% NDP 46% PTPA 3% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 52% NDP 44% PTPA 3% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 52% NDP 44% PTPA 3% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 48% NDP 43% PTPA 3% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 48% NDP 43% PTPA 6% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP 46% UCP 45% PTPA 6% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP 46% NDP 45% PTPA 6% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Calgary-Edgemont

LIB <1% UCP 51% NDP 49% PTPA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 NDP 52% UCP 48% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 67% UCP 33% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 60% NDP 40% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 65% NDP 35% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 63% NDP 37% PTPA <1% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 68% NDP 32% PTPA <1% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 68% NDP 32% PTPA <1% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 90% NDP 10% PTPA <1% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP 88% NDP 12% PTPA <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP 80% NDP 20% PTPA <1% 2026-02-08 2024-03-19 UCP 76% NDP 24% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 60% UCP 40% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 51% NDP 49% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09