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New Democratic Party

Latest update: October 19, 2026
LeaderNaheed Nenshi
Popular vote in 202344.1%
Current vote projection43.4% ± 4.8%
Current number of MLA's39
Current seat projection43 [27-54]

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Vote projection | October 19, 2026

33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% 49% 50% 51% 52% 53% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 38.6% ▼ 43.4% ± 4.8% ▼ 2023 44.1% Max. 48.2% ▼ Probabilities % NDP

Seat projection | October 19, 2026

9 14 19 24 29 34 39 44 49 54 59 64 69 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 27 ▼ 2023 38 seats 43 ▼ Majority 44 seats Max. 54 ▼ Probabilities % NDP

List of favourable electoral districts | New Democratic Party



Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Naheed Nenshi
N Safe NDP
2.
David Shepherd
N Safe NDP
3. N Safe NDP
4.
Kathleen Ganley
N Safe NDP
5.
Marlin Schmidt
N Safe NDP
6.
Sarah Hoffman
N Safe NDP
7.
Joe Ceci
N Safe NDP
8.
Lori Sigurdson
N Safe NDP
9.
Rob Miyashiro
N Safe NDP
10.
Jodi Calahoo Stonehouse
N Safe NDP
11.
Sarah Elmeligi
N Likely NDP
12.
Luanne Metz
N Likely NDP
13.
Janet Eremenko
N Likely NDP
14.
Parmeet Singh Boparai
N Likely NDP
15. N Likely NDP
16.
Jasvir Deol
N Likely NDP
17.
Rakhi Pancholi
N Likely NDP
18.
Gurtej Singh Brar
N Likely NDP
19.
Christina Gray
N Likely NDP
20.
Lorne Dach
N Likely NDP
21.
Gurinder Brar
N Likely NDP
22.
David Eggen
N Likely NDP
23.
Nathan Neudorf
C Likely NDP
24.
Heather Sweet
N Likely NDP
25.
Marie Renaud
N Likely NDP
26.
Kyle Campbell
N Likely NDP
27.
Rhiannon Hoyle
N Likely NDP
28. N Leaning NDP
29.
Brooks Arcand-Paul
N Leaning NDP
30.
Amanda Chapman
N Leaning NDP
31.
Samir Kayande
N Leaning NDP
32.
Lizette Tejada
N Leaning NDP
33.
Jason Stephan
C Leaning NDP
34.
Nicole Goehring
N Leaning NDP
35.
Julia Hayter
N Leaning NDP
36. N Leaning NDP
37.
Court Ellingson
N Toss up UCP/NDP
38.
Sharif Haji
N Toss up UCP/NDP
39.
Nagwan Al-Guneid
N Toss up UCP/NDP
40.
Demetrios Nicolaides
C Toss up UCP/NDP
41.
Diana Batten
N Toss up UCP/NDP
42.
Rajan Sawhney
C Toss up UCP/NDP
43.
Muhammad Yaseen
C Toss up UCP/NDP
44.
Adriana Lagrange
C Toss up UCP/NDP
45.
Mickey Amery
C Toss up UCP/NDP
46.
Kyle Kasawski
N Toss up UCP/NDP
47.
Jackie Armstrong-Homeniuk
C Toss up UCP/NDP
48.
Peter Singh
C Toss up UCP/NDP
49.
Myles Mcdougall
C Leaning UCP
50.
Justin Wright
C Leaning UCP
51.
Scott Sinclair [Elected as UCP]
I Likely UCP
52.
Tanya Fir
C Likely UCP
53.
Richard William (Ric) Mciver
C Likely UCP
54.
Mike Ellis
C Likely UCP
55.
Eric Bouchard
C Likely UCP
56.
Nolan Dyck
C Likely UCP
57. C Likely UCP
58. C Likely UCP
59.
Matt Jones
C Likely UCP
60.
Peter Guthrie [Elected as UCP]
PT Likely UCP
61.
Rick Wilson
C Safe UCP
62.
Danielle Smith
C Safe UCP
63.
Angela Pitt
C Safe UCP
64.
Jackie Lovely
C Safe UCP
65.
Brandon Lunty
C Safe UCP
66.
Searle Turton
C Safe UCP
67.
R.J. Sigurdson
C Safe UCP
68.
Martin Long
C Safe UCP
69.
Shane Getson
C Safe UCP