New Democratic Party

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | New Democratic Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Current party	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Edmonton-Strathcona		Safe NDP hold	>99%
2.	Edmonton-City Centre		Safe NDP hold	>99%
3.	Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood		Safe NDP hold	>99%
4.	Edmonton-Gold Bar		Safe NDP hold	>99%
5.	Edmonton-Glenora		Safe NDP hold	>99%
6.	Edmonton-Riverview		Safe NDP hold	>99%
7.	Edmonton-Rutherford		Safe NDP hold	>99%
8.	Calgary-Bhullar-McCall		Safe NDP hold	>99%
9.	Calgary-Mountain View		Safe NDP hold	>99%
10.	Calgary-Buffalo		Safe NDP hold	>99%
11.	Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview		Safe NDP hold	>99%
12.	Edmonton-North West		Safe NDP hold	>99%
13.	Edmonton-Meadows		Safe NDP hold	>99%
14.	Edmonton-Ellerslie		Safe NDP hold	>99%
15.	Edmonton-Mill Woods		Safe NDP hold	>99%
16.	Edmonton-Manning		Safe NDP hold	>99%
17.	Lethbridge-West		Safe NDP hold	>99%
18.	Edmonton-Whitemud		Likely NDP hold	>99%
19.	Edmonton-Castle Downs		Likely NDP hold	>99%
20.	Edmonton-Decore		Likely NDP hold	99%
21.	Edmonton-McClung		Likely NDP hold	99%
22.	Edmonton-South		Likely NDP hold	98%
23.	Calgary-Falconridge		Likely NDP gain	97%
24.	Calgary-Varsity		Likely NDP gain	96%
25.	Edmonton-West Henday		Likely NDP hold	95%
26.	St. Albert		Likely NDP hold	92%
27.	Calgary-Currie		Likely NDP gain	91%
28.	Calgary-Klein		Leaning NDP gain	87%
29.	Calgary-North East		Leaning NDP gain	82%
30.	Edmonton-South West		Leaning NDP gain	77%
31.	Banff-Kananaskis		Leaning NDP gain	76%
32.	Calgary-Acadia		Leaning NDP gain	76%
33.	Calgary-Beddington		Leaning NDP gain	74%
34.	Calgary-East		Leaning NDP gain	73%
35.	Sherwood Park		Toss up UCP/NDP	68%
36.	Calgary-Cross		Toss up UCP/NDP	65%
37.	Calgary-Edgemont		Toss up UCP/NDP	62%
38.	Calgary-Bow		Toss up UCP/NDP	57%
39.	Calgary-Elbow		Toss up UCP/NDP	55%
40.	Lethbridge-East		Toss up UCP/NDP	51%
41.	Calgary-Glenmore		Toss up UCP/NDP	50%
42.	Calgary-North West		Toss up UCP/NDP	50%
43.	Calgary-North		Toss up UCP/NDP	50%
44.	Calgary-Foothills		Toss up UCP/NDP	36%
45.	Calgary-Peigan		Leaning UCP hold	28%
46.	Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville		Leaning UCP hold	22%
47.	Calgary-Fish Creek		Leaning UCP hold	20%
48.	Lesser Slave Lake		Leaning UCP hold	14%
49.	Spruce Grove-Stony Plain		Leaning UCP hold	13%
50.	Red Deer-South		Leaning UCP hold	11%
51.	Morinville-St. Albert		Likely UCP hold	8%
52.	Strathcona-Sherwood Park		Likely UCP hold	7%
53.	Airdrie-Cochrane		Likely UCP hold	4%
54.	Cypress-Medicine Hat		Likely UCP hold	4%
55.	Red Deer-North		Likely UCP hold	4%
56.	Calgary-Hays		Likely UCP hold	3%
57.	Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin		Likely UCP hold	3%
58.	Calgary-Shaw		Likely UCP hold	3%
59.	Calgary-West		Likely UCP hold	2%
60.	Calgary-Lougheed		Likely UCP hold	2%
61.	Airdrie East		Likely UCP hold	1%