New Democratic Party

Last update: March 18, 2022
Leader | Rachel Notley |
Popular vote in 2019 | 32.7% |
Current vote projection | 40.0% ± 5.6% |
Current number of MLA's | 24 |
Current seat projection | 44 [28-59] |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Edmonton-Strathcona | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
2. | Edmonton-City Centre | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
3. | Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
4. | Edmonton-Gold Bar | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
5. | Edmonton-Glenora | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
6. | Edmonton-Riverview | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
7. | Calgary-McCall | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
8. | Edmonton-Rutherford | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
9. | Edmonton-Manning | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
10. | Edmonton-North West | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
11. | Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
12. | Edmonton-Meadows | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
13. | Calgary-Mountain View | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
14. | Edmonton-Ellerslie | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
15. | Edmonton-Mill Woods | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
16. | Edmonton-Castle Downs | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
17. | Edmonton-McClung | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
18. | Edmonton-Whitemud | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
19. | Edmonton-Decore | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
20. | Edmonton-West Henday | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
21. | Calgary-Buffalo | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
22. | Edmonton-South | ![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
23. | Calgary-Currie | ![]() |
NDP likely | >99% |
24. | Lethbridge-West | ![]() |
NDP likely | >99% |
25. | St. Albert | ![]() |
NDP likely | 99% |
26. | Calgary-Klein | ![]() |
NDP likely | 99% |
27. | Calgary-Varsity | ![]() |
NDP likely | 99% |
28. | Calgary-Falconridge | ![]() |
NDP likely | 99% |
29. | Sherwood Park | ![]() |
NDP likely | 91% |
30. | Edmonton-South West | ![]() |
NDP leaning | 90% |
31. | Calgary-North East | ![]() |
NDP leaning | 87% |
32. | Banff-Kananaskis | ![]() |
NDP leaning | 82% |
33. | Calgary-North West | ![]() |
NDP leaning | 80% |
34. | Calgary-East | ![]() |
NDP leaning | 79% |
35. | Calgary-Foothills | ![]() |
NDP leaning | 75% |
36. | Calgary-Glenmore | ![]() |
NDP leaning | 74% |
37. | Lethbridge-East | ![]() |
NDP leaning | 74% |
38. | Calgary-Beddington | ![]() |
NDP leaning | 71% |
39. | Calgary-North | ![]() |
Toss up UCP/NDP | 70% |
40. | Calgary-Acadia | ![]() |
Toss up UCP/NDP | 70% |
41. | Strathcona-Sherwood Park | ![]() |
Toss up UCP/NDP | 62% |
42. | Calgary-Cross | ![]() |
Toss up UCP/NDP | 60% |
43. | Calgary-Bow | ![]() |
Toss up UCP/NDP | 58% |
44. | Morinville-St. Albert | ![]() |
Toss up UCP/NDP | 50% |
45. | Calgary-Edgemont | ![]() |
Toss up UCP/NDP | 50% |
46. | Lesser Slave Lake | ![]() |
Toss up UCP/NDP | 44% |
47. | Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville | ![]() |
Toss up UCP/NDP | 37% |
48. | Spruce Grove-Stony Plain | ![]() |
Toss up UCP/NDP | 37% |
49. | Calgary-Peigan | ![]() |
UCP leaning | 29% |
50. | Calgary-Fish Creek | ![]() |
UCP leaning | 24% |
51. | Calgary-West | ![]() |
UCP leaning | 22% |
52. | Calgary-Elbow | ![]() |
UCP leaning | 20% |
53. | Calgary-Hays | ![]() |
UCP leaning | 20% |
54. | Calgary-Lougheed | ![]() |
UCP leaning | 18% |
55. | Calgary-Shaw | ![]() |
UCP leaning | 15% |
56. | Cypress-Medicine Hat | ![]() |
UCP leaning | 14% |
57. | Airdrie-Cochrane | ![]() |
UCP leaning | 13% |
58. | Red Deer-South | ![]() |
UCP likely | 6% |
59. | Calgary-South East | ![]() |
UCP likely | 6% |
60. | Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin | ![]() |
UCP likely | 3% |
61. | Leduc-Beaumont | ![]() |
UCP likely | 3% |
62. | Red Deer-North | ![]() |
UCP likely | <1% |
63. | Airdrie East | ![]() |
UCP likely | <1% |
Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
---|---|---|
1. | Edmonton-Strathcona | NDP safe |
2. | Edmonton-City Centre | NDP safe |
3. | Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood | NDP safe |
4. | Edmonton-Gold Bar | NDP safe |
5. | Edmonton-Glenora | NDP safe |
6. | Edmonton-Riverview | NDP safe |
7. | Calgary-McCall | NDP safe |
8. | Edmonton-Rutherford | NDP safe |
9. | Edmonton-Manning | NDP safe |
10. | Edmonton-North West | NDP safe |
11. | Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview | NDP safe |
12. | Edmonton-Meadows | NDP safe |
13. | Calgary-Mountain View | NDP safe |
14. | Edmonton-Ellerslie | NDP safe |
15. | Edmonton-Mill Woods | NDP safe |
16. | Edmonton-Castle Downs | NDP safe |
17. | Edmonton-McClung | NDP safe |
18. | Edmonton-Whitemud | NDP safe |
19. | Edmonton-Decore | NDP safe |
20. | Edmonton-West Henday | NDP safe |
21. | Calgary-Buffalo | NDP safe |
22. | Edmonton-South | NDP safe |
23. | Calgary-Currie | NDP likely |
24. | Lethbridge-West | NDP likely |
25. | St. Albert | NDP likely |
26. | Calgary-Klein | NDP likely |
27. | Calgary-Varsity | NDP likely |
28. | Calgary-Falconridge | NDP likely |
29. | Sherwood Park | NDP likely |
30. | Edmonton-South West | NDP leaning |
31. | Calgary-North East | NDP leaning |
32. | Banff-Kananaskis | NDP leaning |
33. | Calgary-North West | NDP leaning |
34. | Calgary-East | NDP leaning |
35. | Calgary-Foothills | NDP leaning |
36. | Calgary-Glenmore | NDP leaning |
37. | Lethbridge-East | NDP leaning |
38. | Calgary-Beddington | NDP leaning |
39. | Calgary-North | Toss up UCP/NDP |
40. | Calgary-Acadia | Toss up UCP/NDP |
41. | Strathcona-Sherwood Park | Toss up UCP/NDP |
42. | Calgary-Cross | Toss up UCP/NDP |
43. | Calgary-Bow | Toss up UCP/NDP |
44. | Morinville-St. Albert | Toss up UCP/NDP |
45. | Calgary-Edgemont | Toss up UCP/NDP |
46. | Lesser Slave Lake | Toss up UCP/NDP |
47. | Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville | Toss up UCP/NDP |
48. | Spruce Grove-Stony Plain | Toss up UCP/NDP |
49. | Calgary-Peigan | UCP leaning |
50. | Calgary-Fish Creek | UCP leaning |
51. | Calgary-West | UCP leaning |
52. | Calgary-Elbow | UCP leaning |
53. | Calgary-Hays | UCP leaning |
54. | Calgary-Lougheed | UCP leaning |
55. | Calgary-Shaw | UCP leaning |
56. | Cypress-Medicine Hat | UCP leaning |
57. | Airdrie-Cochrane | UCP leaning |
58. | Red Deer-South | UCP likely |
59. | Calgary-South East | UCP likely |
60. | Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin | UCP likely |
61. | Leduc-Beaumont | UCP likely |
62. | Red Deer-North | UCP likely |
63. | Airdrie East | UCP likely |