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New Democratic Party

Latest update: February 8, 2026
LeaderNaheed Nenshi
Popular vote in 202344.1%
Current vote projection41.6% ± 4.7%
Current number of MLA's38
Current seat projection34 [21-48]

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Vote projection | February 8, 2026

31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% 49% 50% 51% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 36.8% ▼ 41.6% ± 4.7% ▼ 2023 44.1% Max. 46.3% ▼ Probabilities % NDP

Seat projection | February 8, 2026

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 21 ▼ 34 ▼ 2023 38 seats Majority 44 seats Max. 48 ▼ Probabilities % NDP

List of favourable electoral districts | New Democratic Party



Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Edmonton-Strathcona
Naheed Nenshi
 N Safe NDP
2.
Edmonton-City Centre
David Shepherd
 N Safe NDP
3.
Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood
Janis Irwin
 N Safe NDP
4.
Edmonton-Gold Bar
Marlin Schmidt
 N Safe NDP
5.
Edmonton-Glenora
Sarah Hoffman
 N Safe NDP
6.
Calgary-Mountain View
Kathleen Ganley
 N Safe NDP
7.
Edmonton-Riverview
Lori Sigurdson
 N Safe NDP
8.
Calgary-Buffalo
Joe Ceci
 N Safe NDP
9.
Edmonton-Rutherford
Jodi Calahoo Stonehouse
 N Safe NDP
10.
Lethbridge-West
Shannon Phillips
 N Likely NDP
11.
Calgary-Varsity
Luanne Metz
 N Likely NDP
12.
Edmonton-Meadows
Jasvir Deol
 N Likely NDP
13.
Edmonton-Whitemud
Rakhi Pancholi
 N Likely NDP
14.
Edmonton-Ellerslie
Gurtej Singh Brar
 N Likely NDP
15.
Calgary-Currie
Janet Eremenko
 N Likely NDP
16.
Calgary-Falconridge
Parmeet Singh Boparai
 N Likely NDP
17.
Banff-Kananaskis
Sarah Elmeligi
 N Likely NDP
18.
Edmonton-Mill Woods
Christina Gray
 N Likely NDP
19.
Edmonton-McClung
Lorne Dach
 N Likely NDP
20.
Calgary-Bhullar-McCall
Irfan Sabir
 N Likely NDP
21.
Edmonton-North West
David Eggen
 N Likely NDP
22.
Edmonton-Manning
Heather Sweet
 N Likely NDP
23.
St. Albert
Marie Renaud
 N Likely NDP
24.
Edmonton-South
Rhiannon Hoyle
 N Likely NDP
25.
Edmonton-West Henday
Brooks Arcand-Paul
 N Leaning NDP
26.
Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview
Peggy Wright
 N Leaning NDP
27.
Calgary-North East
Gurinder Brar
 N Leaning NDP
28.
Lethbridge-East
Nathan Neudorf
 C Leaning NDP gain
29.
Edmonton-Castle Downs
Nicole Goehring
 N Leaning NDP
30.
Edmonton-South West
Nathan Ip
 N Leaning NDP
31.
Edmonton-Decore
Sharif Haji
 N Toss up UCP/NDP
32.
Calgary-Beddington
Amanda Chapman
 N Toss up UCP/NDP
33.
Calgary-Elbow
Samir Kayande
 N Toss up UCP/NDP
34.
Calgary-Klein
Lizette Tejada
 N Toss up UCP/NDP
35.
Calgary-Edgemont
Julia Hayter
 N Toss up UCP/NDP
36.
Calgary-Foothills
Court Ellingson
 N Toss up UCP/NDP
37.
Sherwood Park
Kyle Kasawski
 N Toss up UCP/NDP
38.
Calgary-Glenmore
Nagwan Al-Guneid
 N Toss up UCP/NDP
39.
Calgary-Acadia
Diana Batten
 N Toss up UCP/NDP
40.
Calgary-Bow
Demetrios Nicolaides
 C Toss up UCP/NDP
41.
Calgary-North West
Rajan Sawhney
 C Toss up UCP/NDP
42.
Calgary-North
Muhammad Yaseen
 C Toss up UCP/NDP
43.
Red Deer-South
Jason Stephan
 C Toss up UCP/NDP
44.
Calgary-Cross
Mickey Amery
 C Leaning UCP
45.
Calgary-East
Peter Singh
 C Leaning UCP
46.
Red Deer-North
Adriana Lagrange
 C Leaning UCP
47.
Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville
Jackie Armstrong-Homeniuk
 C Likely UCP
48.
Calgary-Fish Creek
Myles Mcdougall
 C Likely UCP
49.
Morinville-St. Albert
Dale Nally
 C Likely UCP
50.
Calgary-Peigan
Tanya Fir
 C Likely UCP
51.
Cypress-Medicine Hat
Justin Wright
 C Likely UCP
52.
Lesser Slave Lake
Scott Sinclair [Elected as UCP]
 I Likely UCP
53.
Calgary-Hays
Richard William (Ric) Mciver
 C Likely UCP
54.
Calgary-Shaw
Rebecca Schulz
 C Likely UCP
55.
Calgary-Lougheed
Eric Bouchard
 C Likely UCP
56.
Strathcona-Sherwood Park
Nate Glubish
 C Likely UCP
57.
Calgary-West
Mike Ellis
 C Likely UCP
58.
Grande Prairie
Nolan Dyck
 C Likely UCP
59.
Calgary-South East
Matt Jones
 C Safe UCP
60.
Leduc-Beaumont
Brandon Lunty
 C Safe UCP
61.
Spruce Grove-Stony Plain
Searle Turton
 C Safe UCP
62.
Airdrie East
Angela Pitt
 C Safe UCP