338Canada Alberta - New Democratic Party





Last update: March 14, 2021

LeaderRachel Notley
Popular vote in 201932.7%
Current vote projection42.8% ± 5.7%
Current number of MP's24
Current seat projection45 ± 13



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Edmonton-Strathcona NDP safe >99%
2. Edmonton-City Centre NDP safe >99%
3. Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood NDP safe >99%
4. Edmonton-Gold Bar NDP safe >99%
5. Edmonton-Glenora NDP safe >99%
6. Edmonton-Riverview NDP safe >99%
7. Calgary-McCall NDP safe >99%
8. Edmonton-Manning NDP safe >99%
9. Edmonton-Rutherford NDP safe >99%
10. Edmonton-Meadows NDP safe >99%
11. Edmonton-Mill Woods NDP safe >99%
12. Calgary-Buffalo NDP safe >99%
13. Edmonton-North West NDP safe >99%
14. Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview NDP safe >99%
15. Calgary-Mountain View NDP safe >99%
16. Edmonton-Ellerslie NDP safe >99%
17. Edmonton-South NDP safe >99%
18. Edmonton-Castle Downs NDP safe >99%
19. Edmonton-McClung NDP safe >99%
20. Edmonton-Whitemud NDP safe >99%
21. Edmonton-West Henday NDP safe >99%
22. Edmonton-Decore NDP safe >99%
23. Calgary-Currie NDP safe >99%
24. St. Albert NDP likely >99%
25. Lethbridge-West NDP likely >99%
26. Calgary-Falconridge NDP likely 99%
27. Calgary-Klein NDP likely 97%
28. Calgary-Beddington NDP likely 96%
29. Calgary-Cross NDP likely 95%
30. Calgary-East NDP likely 95%
31. Calgary-Acadia NDP likely 95%
32. Calgary-Varsity NDP likely 93%
33. Calgary-North East NDP likely 92%
34. Calgary-Bow NDP likely 90%
35. Calgary-Edgemont NDP leaning 89%
36. Edmonton-South West NDP leaning 89%
37. Banff-Kananaskis NDP leaning 85%
38. Calgary-Glenmore NDP leaning 81%
39. Calgary-Foothills NDP leaning 79%
40. Calgary-North West NDP leaning 76%
41. Calgary-North NDP leaning 72%
42. Sherwood Park NDP leaning 71%
43. Morinville-St. Albert Toss up 49%
44. Strathcona-Sherwood Park Toss up 46%
45. Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville Toss up 46%
46. Calgary-Peigan Toss up 44%
47. Lethbridge-East Toss up 43%
48. Spruce Grove-Stony Plain Toss up 38%
49. Lesser Slave Lake Toss up 36%
50. Leduc-Beaumont Toss up 34%
51. Calgary-Elbow UCP leaning 28%
52. Calgary-Fish Creek UCP leaning 24%
53. Red Deer-South UCP leaning 24%
54. Cypress-Medicine Hat UCP likely 8%
55. Airdrie-Cochrane UCP likely 6%
56. Red Deer-North UCP likely 6%
57. Calgary-Hays UCP likely 5%
58. Calgary-Shaw UCP likely 5%
59. Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin UCP likely 5%
60. Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche UCP likely 4%
61. Calgary-West UCP likely 4%
62. Calgary-Lougheed UCP likely 2%
63. Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland UCP likely 2%
64. Grande Prairie UCP likely 2%
65. Peace River UCP likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Edmonton-Strathcona NDP safe
2. Edmonton-City Centre NDP safe
3. Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood NDP safe
4. Edmonton-Gold Bar NDP safe
5. Edmonton-Glenora NDP safe
6. Edmonton-Riverview NDP safe
7. Calgary-McCall NDP safe
8. Edmonton-Manning NDP safe
9. Edmonton-Rutherford NDP safe
10. Edmonton-Meadows NDP safe
11. Edmonton-Mill Woods NDP safe
12. Calgary-Buffalo NDP safe
13. Edmonton-North West NDP safe
14. Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview NDP safe
15. Calgary-Mountain View NDP safe
16. Edmonton-Ellerslie NDP safe
17. Edmonton-South NDP safe
18. Edmonton-Castle Downs NDP safe
19. Edmonton-McClung NDP safe
20. Edmonton-Whitemud NDP safe
21. Edmonton-West Henday NDP safe
22. Edmonton-Decore NDP safe
23. Calgary-Currie NDP safe
24. St. Albert NDP likely
25. Lethbridge-West NDP likely
26. Calgary-Falconridge NDP likely
27. Calgary-Klein NDP likely
28. Calgary-Beddington NDP likely
29. Calgary-Cross NDP likely
30. Calgary-East NDP likely
31. Calgary-Acadia NDP likely
32. Calgary-Varsity NDP likely
33. Calgary-North East NDP likely
34. Calgary-Bow NDP likely
35. Calgary-Edgemont NDP leaning
36. Edmonton-South West NDP leaning
37. Banff-Kananaskis NDP leaning
38. Calgary-Glenmore NDP leaning
39. Calgary-Foothills NDP leaning
40. Calgary-North West NDP leaning
41. Calgary-North NDP leaning
42. Sherwood Park NDP leaning
43. Morinville-St. Albert Toss up
44. Strathcona-Sherwood Park Toss up
45. Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville Toss up
46. Calgary-Peigan Toss up
47. Lethbridge-East Toss up
48. Spruce Grove-Stony Plain Toss up
49. Lesser Slave Lake Toss up
50. Leduc-Beaumont Toss up
51. Calgary-Elbow UCP leaning
52. Calgary-Fish Creek UCP leaning
53. Red Deer-South UCP leaning
54. Cypress-Medicine Hat UCP likely
55. Airdrie-Cochrane UCP likely
56. Red Deer-North UCP likely
57. Calgary-Hays UCP likely
58. Calgary-Shaw UCP likely
59. Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin UCP likely
60. Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche UCP likely
61. Calgary-West UCP likely
62. Calgary-Lougheed UCP likely
63. Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland UCP likely
64. Grande Prairie UCP likely
65. Peace River UCP likely



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