New Democratic Party

Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Current party	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Edmonton-Strathcona		NDP safe	>99%
2.	Edmonton-City Centre		NDP safe	>99%
3.	Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood		NDP safe	>99%
4.	Edmonton-Gold Bar		NDP safe	>99%
5.	Edmonton-Glenora		NDP safe	>99%
6.	Edmonton-Riverview		NDP safe	>99%
7.	Calgary-McCall		NDP safe	>99%
8.	Edmonton-Rutherford		NDP safe	>99%
9.	Edmonton-Manning		NDP safe	>99%
10.	Edmonton-North West		NDP safe	>99%
11.	Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview		NDP safe	>99%
12.	Edmonton-Meadows		NDP safe	>99%
13.	Calgary-Mountain View		NDP safe	>99%
14.	Edmonton-Ellerslie		NDP safe	>99%
15.	Edmonton-Mill Woods		NDP safe	>99%
16.	Edmonton-Castle Downs		NDP safe	>99%
17.	Edmonton-McClung		NDP safe	>99%
18.	Edmonton-Whitemud		NDP safe	>99%
19.	Edmonton-Decore		NDP safe	>99%
20.	Edmonton-West Henday		NDP safe	>99%
21.	Calgary-Buffalo		NDP safe	>99%
22.	Edmonton-South		NDP safe	>99%
23.	Calgary-Currie		NDP likely	>99%
24.	Lethbridge-West		NDP likely	>99%
25.	St. Albert		NDP likely	99%
26.	Calgary-Klein		NDP likely	99%
27.	Calgary-Varsity		NDP likely	99%
28.	Calgary-Falconridge		NDP likely	99%
29.	Sherwood Park		NDP likely	91%
30.	Edmonton-South West		NDP leaning	90%
31.	Calgary-North East		NDP leaning	87%
32.	Banff-Kananaskis		NDP leaning	82%
33.	Calgary-North West		NDP leaning	80%
34.	Calgary-East		NDP leaning	79%
35.	Calgary-Foothills		NDP leaning	75%
36.	Calgary-Glenmore		NDP leaning	74%
37.	Lethbridge-East		NDP leaning	74%
38.	Calgary-Beddington		NDP leaning	71%
39.	Calgary-North		Toss up UCP/NDP	70%
40.	Calgary-Acadia		Toss up UCP/NDP	70%
41.	Strathcona-Sherwood Park		Toss up UCP/NDP	62%
42.	Calgary-Cross		Toss up UCP/NDP	60%
43.	Calgary-Bow		Toss up UCP/NDP	58%
44.	Morinville-St. Albert		Toss up UCP/NDP	50%
45.	Calgary-Edgemont		Toss up UCP/NDP	50%
46.	Lesser Slave Lake		Toss up UCP/NDP	44%
47.	Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville		Toss up UCP/NDP	37%
48.	Spruce Grove-Stony Plain		Toss up UCP/NDP	37%
49.	Calgary-Peigan		UCP leaning	29%
50.	Calgary-Fish Creek		UCP leaning	24%
51.	Calgary-West		UCP leaning	22%
52.	Calgary-Elbow		UCP leaning	20%
53.	Calgary-Hays		UCP leaning	20%
54.	Calgary-Lougheed		UCP leaning	18%
55.	Calgary-Shaw		UCP leaning	15%
56.	Cypress-Medicine Hat		UCP leaning	14%
57.	Airdrie-Cochrane		UCP leaning	13%
58.	Red Deer-South		UCP likely	6%
59.	Calgary-South East		UCP likely	6%
60.	Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin		UCP likely	3%
61.	Leduc-Beaumont		UCP likely	3%
62.	Red Deer-North		UCP likely	<1%
63.	Airdrie East		UCP likely	<1%