338Canada Alberta - New Democratic Party





Last update: January 9, 2021

LeaderRachel Notley
Popular vote in 201932.7%
Current vote projection44.2% ± 6.3%
Current number of MP's24
Current seat projection47 ± 14



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Edmonton-Strathcona NDP safe >99%
2. Edmonton-City Centre NDP safe >99%
3. Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood NDP safe >99%
4. Edmonton-Gold Bar NDP safe >99%
5. Edmonton-Glenora NDP safe >99%
6. Edmonton-Riverview NDP safe >99%
7. Calgary-McCall NDP safe >99%
8. Edmonton-Manning NDP safe >99%
9. Edmonton-Rutherford NDP safe >99%
10. Edmonton-Meadows NDP safe >99%
11. Edmonton-Mill Woods NDP safe >99%
12. Calgary-Buffalo NDP safe >99%
13. Edmonton-North West NDP safe >99%
14. Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview NDP safe >99%
15. Calgary-Mountain View NDP safe >99%
16. Edmonton-Ellerslie NDP safe >99%
17. Edmonton-Castle Downs NDP safe >99%
18. Edmonton-McClung NDP safe >99%
19. Edmonton-South NDP safe >99%
20. Edmonton-West Henday NDP safe >99%
21. Edmonton-Whitemud NDP safe >99%
22. Calgary-Currie NDP safe >99%
23. Edmonton-Decore NDP safe >99%
24. Lethbridge-West NDP safe >99%
25. St. Albert NDP likely >99%
26. Calgary-Falconridge NDP likely 99%
27. Calgary-Cross NDP likely 97%
28. Calgary-Varsity NDP likely 97%
29. Calgary-East NDP likely 97%
30. Calgary-Klein NDP likely 97%
31. Calgary-Beddington NDP likely 96%
32. Banff-Kananaskis NDP likely 95%
33. Calgary-Acadia NDP likely 95%
34. Edmonton-South West NDP likely 94%
35. Calgary-Edgemont NDP likely 94%
36. Calgary-North East NDP likely 92%
37. Calgary-Bow NDP likely 91%
38. Sherwood Park NDP leaning 87%
39. Calgary-Glenmore NDP leaning 82%
40. Calgary-Foothills NDP leaning 80%
41. Calgary-North West NDP leaning 78%
42. Calgary-North NDP leaning 75%
43. Morinville-St. Albert Toss up 67%
44. Calgary-Elbow Toss up 61%
45. Lethbridge-East Toss up 61%
46. Strathcona-Sherwood Park Toss up 60%
47. Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville Toss up 56%
48. Spruce Grove-Stony Plain Toss up 49%
49. Calgary-Peigan Toss up 48%
50. Lesser Slave Lake Toss up 45%
51. Leduc-Beaumont Toss up 45%
52. Calgary-Fish Creek Toss up 38%
53. Red Deer-South Toss up 37%
54. Cypress-Medicine Hat UCP leaning 15%
55. Red Deer-North UCP leaning 14%
56. Airdrie-Cochrane UCP leaning 12%
57. Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin UCP leaning 10%
58. Calgary-Hays UCP likely 9%
59. Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche UCP likely 9%
60. Calgary-Shaw UCP likely 9%
61. Calgary-West UCP likely 7%
62. Grande Prairie UCP likely 5%
63. Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland UCP likely 5%
64. Calgary-Lougheed UCP likely 4%
65. Peace River UCP likely 2%
66. Calgary-South East UCP likely <1%
67. Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo UCP likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Edmonton-Strathcona NDP safe
2. Edmonton-City Centre NDP safe
3. Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood NDP safe
4. Edmonton-Gold Bar NDP safe
5. Edmonton-Glenora NDP safe
6. Edmonton-Riverview NDP safe
7. Calgary-McCall NDP safe
8. Edmonton-Manning NDP safe
9. Edmonton-Rutherford NDP safe
10. Edmonton-Meadows NDP safe
11. Edmonton-Mill Woods NDP safe
12. Calgary-Buffalo NDP safe
13. Edmonton-North West NDP safe
14. Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview NDP safe
15. Calgary-Mountain View NDP safe
16. Edmonton-Ellerslie NDP safe
17. Edmonton-Castle Downs NDP safe
18. Edmonton-McClung NDP safe
19. Edmonton-South NDP safe
20. Edmonton-West Henday NDP safe
21. Edmonton-Whitemud NDP safe
22. Calgary-Currie NDP safe
23. Edmonton-Decore NDP safe
24. Lethbridge-West NDP safe
25. St. Albert NDP likely
26. Calgary-Falconridge NDP likely
27. Calgary-Cross NDP likely
28. Calgary-Varsity NDP likely
29. Calgary-East NDP likely
30. Calgary-Klein NDP likely
31. Calgary-Beddington NDP likely
32. Banff-Kananaskis NDP likely
33. Calgary-Acadia NDP likely
34. Edmonton-South West NDP likely
35. Calgary-Edgemont NDP likely
36. Calgary-North East NDP likely
37. Calgary-Bow NDP likely
38. Sherwood Park NDP leaning
39. Calgary-Glenmore NDP leaning
40. Calgary-Foothills NDP leaning
41. Calgary-North West NDP leaning
42. Calgary-North NDP leaning
43. Morinville-St. Albert Toss up
44. Calgary-Elbow Toss up
45. Lethbridge-East Toss up
46. Strathcona-Sherwood Park Toss up
47. Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville Toss up
48. Spruce Grove-Stony Plain Toss up
49. Calgary-Peigan Toss up
50. Lesser Slave Lake Toss up
51. Leduc-Beaumont Toss up
52. Calgary-Fish Creek Toss up
53. Red Deer-South Toss up
54. Cypress-Medicine Hat UCP leaning
55. Red Deer-North UCP leaning
56. Airdrie-Cochrane UCP leaning
57. Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin UCP leaning
58. Calgary-Hays UCP likely
59. Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche UCP likely
60. Calgary-Shaw UCP likely
61. Calgary-West UCP likely
62. Grande Prairie UCP likely
63. Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland UCP likely
64. Calgary-Lougheed UCP likely
65. Peace River UCP likely
66. Calgary-South East UCP likely
67. Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo UCP likely



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