338Canada Alberta - New Democratic Party





Last update: June 15, 2021

LeaderRachel Notley
Popular vote in 201932.7%
Current vote projection40.5% ± 5.3%
Current number of MP's24
Current seat projection49 ± 11



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Edmonton-Strathcona NDP safe >99%
2. Edmonton-City Centre NDP safe >99%
3. Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood NDP safe >99%
4. Edmonton-Gold Bar NDP safe >99%
5. Edmonton-Glenora NDP safe >99%
6. Calgary-McCall NDP safe >99%
7. Edmonton-Riverview NDP safe >99%
8. Calgary-Buffalo NDP safe >99%
9. Edmonton-Manning NDP safe >99%
10. Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview NDP safe >99%
11. Calgary-Mountain View NDP safe >99%
12. Edmonton-North West NDP safe >99%
13. Edmonton-Rutherford NDP safe >99%
14. Edmonton-Meadows NDP safe >99%
15. Edmonton-Mill Woods NDP safe >99%
16. Edmonton-Ellerslie NDP safe >99%
17. Edmonton-Castle Downs NDP safe >99%
18. Edmonton-McClung NDP safe >99%
19. Calgary-Currie NDP safe >99%
20. Lethbridge-West NDP safe >99%
21. Edmonton-Whitemud NDP safe >99%
22. Edmonton-South NDP safe >99%
23. Edmonton-Decore NDP safe >99%
24. Edmonton-West Henday NDP safe >99%
25. Calgary-Falconridge NDP safe >99%
26. Banff-Kananaskis NDP likely >99%
27. Calgary-Klein NDP likely 99%
28. St. Albert NDP likely 99%
29. Calgary-Cross NDP likely 98%
30. Sherwood Park NDP likely 98%
31. Calgary-Varsity NDP likely 98%
32. Calgary-North East NDP likely 97%
33. Calgary-Beddington NDP likely 97%
34. Calgary-East NDP likely 97%
35. Calgary-Acadia NDP likely 95%
36. Morinville-St. Albert NDP likely 94%
37. Calgary-Edgemont NDP likely 94%
38. Calgary-Bow NDP likely 93%
39. Strathcona-Sherwood Park NDP likely 92%
40. Edmonton-South West NDP likely 92%
41. Lethbridge-East NDP likely 91%
42. Lesser Slave Lake NDP leaning 85%
43. Calgary-Glenmore NDP leaning 81%
44. Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville NDP leaning 81%
45. Calgary-Foothills NDP leaning 79%
46. Calgary-North West NDP leaning 78%
47. Leduc-Beaumont NDP leaning 71%
48. Calgary-North Toss up 66%
49. Spruce Grove-Stony Plain Toss up 56%
50. Red Deer-South Toss up 45%
51. Calgary-Peigan Toss up 42%
52. Calgary-Fish Creek UCP leaning 26%
53. Red Deer-North UCP leaning 17%
54. Calgary-Elbow UCP leaning 17%
55. Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin UCP leaning 16%
56. Cypress-Medicine Hat UCP leaning 16%
57. Airdrie-Cochrane UCP leaning 14%
58. Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche UCP leaning 10%
59. Grande Prairie UCP likely 7%
60. Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland UCP likely 4%
61. Calgary-Lougheed UCP likely 4%
62. Calgary-Shaw UCP likely 4%
63. Calgary-Hays UCP likely 3%
64. Peace River UCP likely 3%
65. Calgary-West UCP likely 3%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Edmonton-Strathcona NDP safe
2. Edmonton-City Centre NDP safe
3. Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood NDP safe
4. Edmonton-Gold Bar NDP safe
5. Edmonton-Glenora NDP safe
6. Calgary-McCall NDP safe
7. Edmonton-Riverview NDP safe
8. Calgary-Buffalo NDP safe
9. Edmonton-Manning NDP safe
10. Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview NDP safe
11. Calgary-Mountain View NDP safe
12. Edmonton-North West NDP safe
13. Edmonton-Rutherford NDP safe
14. Edmonton-Meadows NDP safe
15. Edmonton-Mill Woods NDP safe
16. Edmonton-Ellerslie NDP safe
17. Edmonton-Castle Downs NDP safe
18. Edmonton-McClung NDP safe
19. Calgary-Currie NDP safe
20. Lethbridge-West NDP safe
21. Edmonton-Whitemud NDP safe
22. Edmonton-South NDP safe
23. Edmonton-Decore NDP safe
24. Edmonton-West Henday NDP safe
25. Calgary-Falconridge NDP safe
26. Banff-Kananaskis NDP likely
27. Calgary-Klein NDP likely
28. St. Albert NDP likely
29. Calgary-Cross NDP likely
30. Sherwood Park NDP likely
31. Calgary-Varsity NDP likely
32. Calgary-North East NDP likely
33. Calgary-Beddington NDP likely
34. Calgary-East NDP likely
35. Calgary-Acadia NDP likely
36. Morinville-St. Albert NDP likely
37. Calgary-Edgemont NDP likely
38. Calgary-Bow NDP likely
39. Strathcona-Sherwood Park NDP likely
40. Edmonton-South West NDP likely
41. Lethbridge-East NDP likely
42. Lesser Slave Lake NDP leaning
43. Calgary-Glenmore NDP leaning
44. Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville NDP leaning
45. Calgary-Foothills NDP leaning
46. Calgary-North West NDP leaning
47. Leduc-Beaumont NDP leaning
48. Calgary-North Toss up
49. Spruce Grove-Stony Plain Toss up
50. Red Deer-South Toss up
51. Calgary-Peigan Toss up
52. Calgary-Fish Creek UCP leaning
53. Red Deer-North UCP leaning
54. Calgary-Elbow UCP leaning
55. Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin UCP leaning
56. Cypress-Medicine Hat UCP leaning
57. Airdrie-Cochrane UCP leaning
58. Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche UCP leaning
59. Grande Prairie UCP likely
60. Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland UCP likely
61. Calgary-Lougheed UCP likely
62. Calgary-Shaw UCP likely
63. Calgary-Hays UCP likely
64. Peace River UCP likely
65. Calgary-West UCP likely



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