New Democratic Party

Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Current party	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Edmonton-Strathcona		Safe NDP hold	>99%
2.	Edmonton-City Centre		Safe NDP hold	>99%
3.	Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood		Safe NDP hold	>99%
4.	Edmonton-Glenora		Safe NDP hold	>99%
5.	Edmonton-Gold Bar		Safe NDP hold	>99%
6.	Edmonton-Riverview		Safe NDP hold	>99%
7.	Calgary-Bhullar-McCall		Safe NDP hold	>99%
8.	Calgary-Mountain View		Safe NDP hold	>99%
9.	Edmonton-Rutherford		Safe NDP hold	>99%
10.	Edmonton-North West		Safe NDP hold	>99%
11.	Edmonton-Meadows		Safe NDP hold	>99%
12.	Lethbridge-West		Safe NDP hold	>99%
13.	Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview		Safe NDP hold	>99%
14.	Calgary-Buffalo		Likely NDP hold	>99%
15.	Edmonton-Ellerslie		Likely NDP hold	>99%
16.	Edmonton-Mill Woods		Likely NDP hold	>99%
17.	Edmonton-Manning		Likely NDP hold	>99%
18.	Edmonton-Castle Downs		Likely NDP hold	>99%
19.	Edmonton-Whitemud		Likely NDP hold	>99%
20.	Edmonton-McClung		Likely NDP hold	99%
21.	Edmonton-Decore		Likely NDP hold	99%
22.	St. Albert		Likely NDP hold	97%
23.	Edmonton-South		Likely NDP hold	96%
24.	Edmonton-West Henday		Likely NDP hold	95%
25.	Calgary-Falconridge		Likely NDP gain	92%
26.	Calgary-Varsity		Leaning NDP gain	87%
27.	Sherwood Park		Leaning NDP gain	86%
28.	Banff-Kananaskis		Leaning NDP gain	82%
29.	Lethbridge-East		Leaning NDP gain	80%
30.	Calgary-Currie		Leaning NDP gain	77%
31.	Calgary-Klein		Leaning NDP gain	75%
32.	Calgary-North East		Toss up UCP/NDP	63%
33.	Morinville-St. Albert		Toss up UCP/NDP	58%
34.	Edmonton-South West		Toss up UCP/NDP	56%
35.	Strathcona-Sherwood Park		Toss up UCP/NDP	55%
36.	Calgary-East		Toss up UCP/NDP	52%
37.	Calgary-Beddington		Toss up UCP/NDP	50%
38.	Calgary-Acadia		Toss up UCP/NDP	43%
39.	Calgary-Cross		Toss up UCP/NDP	43%
40.	Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville		Toss up UCP/NDP	39%
41.	Spruce Grove-Stony Plain		Toss up UCP/NDP	35%
42.	Calgary-Edgemont		Toss up UCP/NDP	35%
43.	Lesser Slave Lake		Toss up UCP/NDP	35%
44.	Calgary-Bow		Toss up UCP/NDP	33%
45.	Calgary-Glenmore		Toss up UCP/NDP	33%
46.	Calgary-Foothills		Toss up UCP/NDP	32%
47.	Calgary-North West		Leaning UCP hold	29%
48.	Calgary-North		Leaning UCP hold	27%
49.	Leduc-Beaumont		Leaning UCP hold	23%
50.	Calgary-Elbow		Leaning UCP hold	12%
51.	Red Deer-South		Leaning UCP hold	12%
52.	Calgary-Peigan		Likely UCP hold	9%
53.	Calgary-Fish Creek		Likely UCP hold	6%
54.	Cypress-Medicine Hat		Likely UCP hold	4%
55.	Red Deer-North		Likely UCP hold	4%
56.	Airdrie-Cochrane		Likely UCP hold	4%
57.	Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin		Likely UCP hold	3%
58.	Calgary-Hays		Likely UCP hold	<1%
59.	Calgary-Shaw		Likely UCP hold	<1%
60.	Calgary-West		Likely UCP hold	<1%