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Alberta

Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland


MLA: Shane Getson, (UCP)

Latest projection: July 7, 2024
Safe UCP
Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland 66% ± 7% UCP 29% ± 6% NDP 3% ± 3% ABP UCP 2023 68.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | July 7, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland >99% UCP <1% NDP <1% ABP Odds of winning | July 7, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).



Popular vote projection | Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland

UCP 66% ± 7% NDP 29% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP July 7, 2024 2023-05-03 UCP 56% NDP 37% 2023-05-03 2023-05-04 UCP 52% NDP 40% 2023-05-04 2023-05-05 UCP 52% NDP 40% 2023-05-05 2023-05-06 UCP 52% NDP 40% 2023-05-06 2023-05-08 UCP 57% NDP 35% 2023-05-08 2023-05-10 UCP 57% NDP 35% 2023-05-10 2023-05-13 UCP 52% NDP 39% 2023-05-13 2023-05-14 UCP 56% NDP 36% 2023-05-14 2023-05-15 UCP 58% NDP 34% 2023-05-15 2023-05-16 UCP 58% NDP 34% 2023-05-16 2023-05-17 UCP 58% NDP 34% 2023-05-17 2023-05-18 UCP 58% NDP 34% 2023-05-18 2023-05-19 UCP 58% NDP 33% 2023-05-19 2023-05-21 UCP 58% NDP 33% 2023-05-21 2023-05-22 UCP 59% NDP 33% 2023-05-22 2023-05-23 UCP 58% NDP 33% 2023-05-23 2023-05-24 UCP 59% NDP 33% 2023-05-24 2023-05-25 UCP 59% NDP 33% 2023-05-25 2023-05-26 UCP 58% NDP 33% 2023-05-26 2023-05-27 UCP 58% NDP 33% 2023-05-27 2023-05-28 UCP 58% NDP 34% 2023-05-28 2023-05-31 UCP 69% NDP 27% 2023-05-31 2023-10-07 UCP 69% NDP 27% 2023-10-07 2023-11-09 UCP 67% NDP 29% 2023-11-09 2024-01-20 UCP 66% NDP 30% 2024-01-20 2024-03-19 UCP 66% NDP 29% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 66% NDP 29% 2024-07-07

Odds of winning | Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland

UCP >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP July 7, 2024 2023-05-03 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-03 2023-05-04 UCP 94% NDP 6% 2023-05-04 2023-05-05 UCP 94% NDP 6% 2023-05-05 2023-05-06 UCP 94% NDP 6% 2023-05-06 2023-05-08 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-08 2023-05-10 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-10 2023-05-13 UCP 95% NDP 5% 2023-05-13 2023-05-14 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-14 2023-05-15 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-15 2023-05-16 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-16 2023-05-17 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-17 2023-05-18 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-18 2023-05-19 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-19 2023-05-21 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-21 2023-05-22 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-22 2023-05-23 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-23 2023-05-24 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-24 2023-05-25 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-25 2023-05-26 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-26 2023-05-27 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-27 2023-05-28 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-28 2023-05-31 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-31 2023-10-07 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-10-07 2023-11-09 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-11-09 2024-01-20 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2024-01-20 2024-03-19 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2024-07-07

Recent electoral history | Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland



2019 2023 Proj. UCP 65.7% 68.9% 66% ± 7% NDP 23.4% 27.1% 29% ± 6% ABP 7.8% 2.1% 3% ± 3% GPA 0.0% 0.9% 1% ± 1%