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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Edmonton-Strathcona


2019 2023 Projection NDP 75% ± 6% 72.1% 79.7% UCP 17% ± 5% 17.0% 17.3% PTPA 2% ± 2% 5.6% 0.0%

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338Canada Edmonton-Strathcona projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Edmonton-Strathcona 69% 81% 75% ± 6% NDP 12% 22% 17% ± 5% UCP NDP 2023 79.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton-Strathcona >99% NDP <1% UCP <1% LIB Odds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Edmonton-Strathcona

UCP 17% ± 5% NDP 75% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton-Strathcona 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 NDP 76% UCP 18% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 73% UCP 22% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 72% UCP 22% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 NDP 72% UCP 22% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 NDP 72% UCP 23% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 NDP 73% UCP 20% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 NDP 73% UCP 19% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 NDP 73% UCP 19% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP 75% UCP 17% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 NDP 75% UCP 17% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Edmonton-Strathcona

LIB <1% UCP <1% NDP >99% PTPA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 NDP >99% PTPA <1% UCP <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP >99% PTPA <1% UCP <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP >99% PTPA <1% UCP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 NDP >99% PTPA <1% UCP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 NDP >99% PTPA <1% UCP <1% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 NDP >99% PTPA <1% UCP <1% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 NDP >99% PTPA <1% UCP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 NDP >99% PTPA <1% UCP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP >99% PTPA <1% UCP <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 NDP >99% PTPA <1% UCP <1% 2026-02-08 2024-03-19 NDP >99% PTPA <1% UCP <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP >99% PTPA <1% UCP <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP >99% PTPA <1% UCP <1% 2025-02-09