logo
Alberta

Recent electoral history | Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo


2019 2023 Projection UCP 62% ± 9% 71.0% 67.4% NDP 22% ± 7% 21.7% 19.8% REP 8% ± 5% 0.0% 0.0% PTPA 5% ± 5% 5.6% 2.7%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Alberta flag

338Canada Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo 53% 70% 62% ± 9% UCP 16% 29% 22% ± 7% NDP 3% 14% 8% ± 5% REP 0% 11% 5% ± 5% PTPA UCP 2023 67.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo >99% UCP <1% NDP <1% REPOdds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo

Odds of winning | Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo