Calgary
26 provincial districts
Latest update: December 20, 2025
Seat and vote projections — Calgary
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Calgary
26 provincial districts
Latest update: December 20, 2025
Methodology note.
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. Details on 338Canada’s methodology are available here.
Methodology note.
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current range from worst- to best-case outcomes. Values near the centre of the distribution are more likely than the extremes, as the results follow Gaussian-like (bell-curve) distributions.
Does it work? See 338Canada’s full record here.
List of districts | Calgary
Latest update: December 20, 2025
| Electoral districts | Current party |
Projection |
|---|---|---|
Diana Batten
|
Toss up UCP/NDP | |
Amanda Chapman
|
Leaning NDP | |
Demetrios Nicolaides
|
Toss up UCP/NDP | |
Joe Ceci
|
Safe NDP | |
Mickey Amery
|
Leaning UCP | |
Janet Eremenko
|
Likely NDP | |
Peter Singh
|
Leaning UCP | |
Julia Hayter
|
Toss up UCP/NDP | |
Samir Kayande
|
Leaning NDP | |
Parmeet Singh Boparai
|
Likely NDP | |
Myles Mcdougall
|
Likely UCP | |
Court Ellingson
|
Toss up UCP/NDP | |
Nagwan Al-Guneid
|
Toss up UCP/NDP | |
Richard William (Ric) Mciver
|
Likely UCP | |
Lizette Tejada
|
Toss up UCP/NDP | |
Eric Bouchard
|
Likely UCP | |
Irfan Sabir
|
Likely NDP | |
Kathleen Ganley
|
Safe NDP | |
Muhammad Yaseen
|
Toss up UCP/NDP | |
Gurinder Brar
|
Likely NDP | |
Rajan Sawhney
|
Toss up UCP/NDP | |
Tanya Fir
|
Likely UCP | |
Rebecca Schulz
|
Likely UCP | |
Matt Jones
|
Safe UCP | |
Luanne Metz
|
Likely NDP | |
Mike Ellis
|
Likely UCP |