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Alberta

Calgary, 26 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2023)
5 2 3 4 14 15
4 3 2 3 12 11
Projected ahead Last election (2023)
14 15
12 11




Projection | Calgary


Latest update: May 31, 2023
Calgary 49% ± 1% 48% ± 1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 31, 2023
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Calgary, 26 districts 14▲ [12-15] 12▼ [11-14] 0 [0-0] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | May 31, 2023
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Calgary

UCP 48% ± 1% NDP 49% ± 1% Popular vote projection % | Calgary 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-06-01 2023-07-01 2023-08-01 2023-09-01 2023-10-01 2023-11-01 2023-12-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-02-01 2024-03-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

Seat projection | Calgary

UCP 12 [11-14] NDP 14 [12-15] Seat projection | Calgary 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-06-01 2023-07-01 2023-08-01 2023-09-01 2023-10-01 2023-11-01 2023-12-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-02-01 2024-03-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

List of electoral districts


Latest update: May 31, 2023
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
001 Calgary-Acadia Toss up UCP/NDP
002 Calgary-Beddington Leaning NDP
003 Calgary-Bow Toss up UCP/NDP
004 Calgary-Buffalo Safe NDP
005 Calgary-Cross Leaning UCP
006 Calgary-Currie Safe NDP
007 Calgary-East Leaning UCP
008 Calgary-Edgemont Toss up UCP/NDP
009 Calgary-Elbow Leaning NDP
010 Calgary-Falconridge Safe NDP
011 Calgary-Fish Creek Likely UCP
012 Calgary-Foothills Toss up UCP/NDP
013 Calgary-Glenmore Toss up UCP/NDP
014 Calgary-Hays Likely UCP
015 Calgary-Klein Leaning NDP
016 Calgary-Lougheed Safe UCP
017 Calgary-Bhullar-McCall Likely NDP
018 Calgary-Mountain View Safe NDP
019 Calgary-North Toss up UCP/NDP
020 Calgary-North East Likely NDP
021 Calgary-North West Toss up UCP/NDP
022 Calgary-Peigan Likely UCP
023 Calgary-Shaw Safe UCP
024 Calgary-South East Safe UCP
025 Calgary-Varsity Safe NDP
026 Calgary-West Safe UCP
Electoral district
001 Calgary-Acadia
002 Calgary-Beddington
003 Calgary-Bow
004 Calgary-Buffalo
005 Calgary-Cross
006 Calgary-Currie
007 Calgary-East
008 Calgary-Edgemont
009 Calgary-Elbow
010 Calgary-Falconridge
011 Calgary-Fish Creek
012 Calgary-Foothills
013 Calgary-Glenmore
014 Calgary-Hays
015 Calgary-Klein
016 Calgary-Lougheed
017 Calgary-Bhullar-McCall
018 Calgary-Mountain View
019 Calgary-North
020 Calgary-North East
021 Calgary-North West
022 Calgary-Peigan
023 Calgary-Shaw
024 Calgary-South East
025 Calgary-Varsity
026 Calgary-West