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Calgary

26 provincial districts
Latest update: December 20, 2025

Calgary 42% 52% 47% ± 5% NDP 41% 51% 46% ± 5% UCP 2% 7% 4% ± 3% PTPA 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. Details on 338Canada’s methodology are available here.
Calgary, 26 federal districts 14 [9-17] UCP 12 [9-17] NDP 338Canada seat projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current range from worst- to best-case outcomes. Values near the centre of the distribution are more likely than the extremes, as the results follow Gaussian-like (bell-curve) distributions. Does it work? See 338Canada’s full record here.

Popular vote projection | Calgary

UCP 46% ± 5% NDP 47% ± 5% PTPA 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Calgary 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA December 20, 2025 2024-03-19 UCP 50% NDP 46% PTPA 2% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 49% NDP 46% PTPA 2% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 50% NDP 46% PTPA 2% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 50% NDP 46% PTPA 2% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 53% NDP 43% PTPA 2% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 52% NDP 44% PTPA 2% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 49% NDP 43% PTPA 2% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 49% NDP 44% PTPA 4% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP 47% UCP 46% PTPA 4% 2025-12-20

Seat projection | Calgary

UCP 14 [9-17] NDP 12 [9-17] Seat projection | Calgary 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP December 20, 2025 2024-03-19 UCP 19 NDP 7 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 18 NDP 8 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 19 NDP 7 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 19 NDP 7 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 20 NDP 6 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 20 NDP 6 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 19 NDP 7 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 19 NDP 7 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP 14 NDP 12 2025-12-20

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List of districts | Calgary
Latest update: December 20, 2025

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Diana Batten
N Toss up UCP/NDP
Amanda Chapman
N Leaning NDP
Demetrios Nicolaides
C Toss up UCP/NDP
Joe Ceci
N Safe NDP
Mickey Amery
C Leaning UCP
Janet Eremenko
N Likely NDP
Peter Singh
C Leaning UCP
Julia Hayter
N Toss up UCP/NDP
Samir Kayande
N Leaning NDP
Parmeet Singh Boparai
N Likely NDP
Myles Mcdougall
C Likely UCP
Court Ellingson
N Toss up UCP/NDP
Nagwan Al-Guneid
N Toss up UCP/NDP
Richard William (Ric) Mciver
C Likely UCP
Lizette Tejada
N Toss up UCP/NDP
Eric Bouchard
C Likely UCP
N Likely NDP
Kathleen Ganley
N Safe NDP
Muhammad Yaseen
C Toss up UCP/NDP
Gurinder Brar
N Likely NDP
Rajan Sawhney
C Toss up UCP/NDP
Tanya Fir
C Likely UCP
Rebecca Schulz
C Likely UCP
Matt Jones
C Safe UCP
Luanne Metz
N Likely NDP
Mike Ellis
C Likely UCP