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Alberta

Calgary, 26 districts


Latest update: September 13, 2025
Calgary 52% ± 5% UCP 44% ± 5% NDP 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 13, 2025
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Calgary, 26 districts 20 [16-22] UCP 6 [4-10] NDP 0 [0-0] ABP 0 [0-0] GPA 338Canada seat projection | September 13, 2025
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Calgary

UCP 52% ± 5% NDP 44% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Calgary 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 UCP NDP September 13, 2025 2024-03-19 UCP 50% NDP 46% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 49% NDP 46% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 50% NDP 46% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 50% NDP 46% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 53% NDP 43% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 52% NDP 44% 2025-09-13

Seat projection | Calgary

UCP 20 [16-22] NDP 6 [4-10] Seat projection | Calgary 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 UCP NDP September 13, 2025 2024-03-19 UCP 19 NDP 7 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 18 NDP 8 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 19 NDP 7 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 19 NDP 7 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 20 NDP 6 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 20 NDP 6 2025-09-13

Seat projection | Calgary


Latest update: September 13, 2025
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2023)
6 9 4 1 20 11
1 1 4 0 6 15

List of electoral districts | Calgary


Latest update: September 13, 2025
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
1001 Calgary-Acadia Likely UCP gain
1002 Calgary-Beddington Leaning UCP gain
1003 Calgary-Bow Likely UCP
1004 Calgary-Buffalo Likely NDP
1005 Calgary-Cross Likely UCP
1006 Calgary-Currie Leaning NDP
1007 Calgary-East Likely UCP
1008 Calgary-Edgemont Leaning UCP gain
1009 Calgary-Elbow Leaning UCP gain
1010 Calgary-Falconridge Leaning NDP
1011 Calgary-Fish Creek Likely UCP
1012 Calgary-Foothills Likely UCP gain
1013 Calgary-Glenmore Likely UCP gain
1014 Calgary-Hays Safe UCP
1015 Calgary-Klein Leaning UCP gain
1016 Calgary-Lougheed Safe UCP
1017 Calgary-Bhullar-McCall Leaning NDP
1018 Calgary-Mountain View Safe NDP
1019 Calgary-North Likely UCP
1020 Calgary-North East Toss up UCP/NDP
1021 Calgary-North West Likely UCP
1022 Calgary-Peigan Safe UCP
1023 Calgary-Shaw Safe UCP
1024 Calgary-South East Safe UCP
1025 Calgary-Varsity Leaning NDP
1026 Calgary-West Safe UCP