Calgary, 26 districts
Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2023) | |
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 15 |
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4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 |
Projected ahead | Last election (2023) | |
|
14 | 15 |
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12 | 11 |
Projection | Calgary
Latest update: May 31, 2023
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean.
Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
Popular vote projection | Calgary
Seat projection | Calgary
List of electoral districts
Latest update: May 31, 2023
Electoral district | Current party | Latest projection |
---|---|---|
001 Calgary-Acadia | Toss up UCP/NDP | |
002 Calgary-Beddington | Leaning NDP | |
003 Calgary-Bow | ![]() |
Toss up UCP/NDP |
004 Calgary-Buffalo | Safe NDP | |
005 Calgary-Cross | ![]() |
Leaning UCP |
006 Calgary-Currie | Safe NDP | |
007 Calgary-East | ![]() |
Leaning UCP |
008 Calgary-Edgemont | Toss up UCP/NDP | |
009 Calgary-Elbow | Leaning NDP | |
010 Calgary-Falconridge | Safe NDP | |
011 Calgary-Fish Creek | ![]() |
Likely UCP |
012 Calgary-Foothills | Toss up UCP/NDP | |
013 Calgary-Glenmore | Toss up UCP/NDP | |
014 Calgary-Hays | ![]() |
Likely UCP |
015 Calgary-Klein | Leaning NDP | |
016 Calgary-Lougheed | ![]() |
Safe UCP |
017 Calgary-Bhullar-McCall | Likely NDP | |
018 Calgary-Mountain View | Safe NDP | |
019 Calgary-North | ![]() |
Toss up UCP/NDP |
020 Calgary-North East | Likely NDP | |
021 Calgary-North West | ![]() |
Toss up UCP/NDP |
022 Calgary-Peigan | ![]() |
Likely UCP |
023 Calgary-Shaw | ![]() |
Safe UCP |
024 Calgary-South East | ![]() |
Safe UCP |
025 Calgary-Varsity | Safe NDP | |
026 Calgary-West | ![]() |
Safe UCP |