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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Central Peace-Notley


2019 2023 Projection UCP 70% ± 8% 75.4% 77.7% NDP 20% ± 6% 19.3% 18.5% REP 5% ± 4% 0.0% 0.0% PTPA 3% ± 3% 4.6% 1.4%

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338Canada Central Peace-Notley projection

Latest update: April 12, 2026

Central Peace-Notley 63% 78% 70% ± 8% UCP 14% 25% 20% ± 6% NDP 0% 9% 5% ± 4% REP UCP 2023 77.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 12, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Central Peace-Notley >99% UCP <1% NDP <1% REPOdds of winning | April 12, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Central Peace-Notley

Odds of winning | Central Peace-Notley