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Edmonton

21 provincial districts
Latest update: February 8, 2026

Edmonton 51% 60% 56% ± 5% NDP 33% 42% 38% ± 5% UCP 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. Details on 338Canada’s methodology are available here.
Edmonton, 21 federal districts 21 [17-21] NDP 0 [0-4] UCP 338Canada seat projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current range from worst- to best-case outcomes. Values near the centre of the distribution are more likely than the extremes, as the results follow Gaussian-like (bell-curve) distributions. Does it work? See 338Canada’s full record here.

Popular vote projection | Edmonton

UCP 38% ± 5% NDP 56% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 NDP 59% UCP 36% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 54% UCP 41% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 54% UCP 41% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 NDP 54% UCP 41% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 NDP 53% UCP 42% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 NDP 53% UCP 42% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 NDP 53% UCP 40% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 NDP 54% UCP 40% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP 57% UCP 37% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 NDP 56% UCP 38% 2026-02-08

Seat projection | Edmonton

UCP 0 [0-4] NDP 21 [17-21] Seat projection | Edmonton 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 NDP 21 UCP 0 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 18 UCP 3 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 18 UCP 3 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 NDP 18 UCP 3 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 NDP 18 UCP 3 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 NDP 18 UCP 3 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 NDP 18 UCP 3 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 NDP 18 UCP 3 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP 21 UCP 0 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 NDP 21 UCP 0 2026-02-08

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List of districts | Edmonton
Latest update: February 8, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
N Leaning NDP
Nicole Goehring
N Leaning NDP
David Shepherd
N Safe NDP
Sharif Haji
N Toss up UCP/NDP
Gurtej Singh Brar
N Likely NDP
Sarah Hoffman
N Safe NDP
Marlin Schmidt
N Safe NDP
N Safe NDP
Heather Sweet
N Likely NDP
Lorne Dach
N Likely NDP
Jasvir Deol
N Likely NDP
Christina Gray
N Likely NDP
David Eggen
N Likely NDP
Lori Sigurdson
N Safe NDP
Jodi Calahoo Stonehouse
N Safe NDP
Rhiannon Hoyle
N Likely NDP
N Leaning NDP
Naheed Nenshi
N Safe NDP
Brooks Arcand-Paul
N Leaning NDP
Rakhi Pancholi
N Likely NDP
Marie Renaud
N Likely NDP