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Alberta

Alberta provincial polls



UCP 54% ± 5%▲
NDP 41% ± 5%▼
ABP 2% ± 1%
GPA 1% ± 1%

LIB UCP NDP ABP GPA WIP Voting intentions % 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 Election 2023 July 7, 2024 2023-05-03 UCP 48% NDP 44% ABP 4% GPA 1% LIB 1% WIP 1% 2023-05-03 2023-05-04 UCP 47% NDP 45% ABP 4% GPA 1% LIB 1% WIP 1% 2023-05-04 2023-05-05 UCP 47% NDP 45% ABP 4% GPA 1% LIB 1% WIP 1% 2023-05-05 2023-05-06 UCP 47% NDP 45% ABP 4% GPA 1% LIB 1% WIP 1% 2023-05-06 2023-05-08 UCP 48% NDP 44% ABP 4% GPA 1% LIB 1% WIP 1% 2023-05-08 2023-05-10 UCP 48% NDP 44% ABP 4% GPA 1% LIB 1% WIP 1% 2023-05-10 2023-05-13 NDP 49% UCP 47% ABP 1% GPA 1% LIB 0% WIP 0% 2023-05-13 2023-05-14 UCP 49% NDP 47% ABP 1% GPA 1% LIB 0% WIP 0% 2023-05-14 2023-05-15 UCP 50% NDP 46% ABP 1% GPA 1% LIB 0% WIP 0% 2023-05-15 2023-05-16 UCP 50% NDP 46% ABP 1% GPA 1% LIB 0% WIP 0% 2023-05-16 2023-05-17 UCP 50% NDP 46% ABP 1% GPA 1% LIB 0% WIP 0% 2023-05-17 2023-05-18 UCP 50% NDP 46% ABP 1% GPA 1% LIB 0% WIP 0% 2023-05-18 2023-05-19 UCP 50% NDP 46% ABP 1% GPA 1% LIB 0% WIP 0% 2023-05-19 2023-05-21 UCP 50% NDP 46% ABP 1% GPA 1% LIB 0% WIP 0% 2023-05-21 2023-05-22 UCP 51% NDP 45% ABP 1% GPA 1% LIB 0% WIP 0% 2023-05-22 2023-05-23 UCP 51% NDP 45% ABP 1% GPA 1% LIB 0% WIP 0% 2023-05-23 2023-05-24 UCP 51% NDP 45% ABP 1% GPA 1% LIB 0% WIP 0% 2023-05-24 2023-05-25 UCP 51% NDP 45% ABP 1% GPA 1% LIB 0% WIP 0% 2023-05-25 2023-05-26 UCP 51% NDP 45% ABP 1% GPA 1% LIB 0% WIP 0% 2023-05-26 2023-05-27 UCP 51% NDP 45% ABP 1% GPA 1% LIB 0% WIP 0% 2023-05-27 2023-05-28 UCP 51% NDP 45% ABP 1% GPA 1% LIB 0% WIP 0% 2023-05-28 2023-05-31 UCP 53% NDP 44% GPA 1% ABP 1% WIP 0% LIB 0% 2023-05-31 2023-10-07 UCP 53% NDP 43% ABP 1% GPA 1% LIB 1% WIP 0% 2023-10-07 2023-11-09 UCP 51% NDP 44% ABP 1% GPA 1% LIB 1% WIP 0% 2023-11-09 2024-01-20 UCP 52% NDP 44% ABP 1% GPA 1% LIB 0% WIP 0% 2024-01-20 2024-03-19 UCP 52% NDP 43% ABP 2% GPA 1% LIB 0% WIP 0% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 54% NDP 41% ABP 2% GPA 1% LIB 0% WIP 0% 2024-07-07 Projection updated on July 7, 2024

[▲▼: movement since previous update]
Firm Rating Date
(middle)		 Sample UCP NDP ABP GPA LIB Leader
Abacus Data
A−
2024-06-27 1,000 54 40 UCP +14
Léger
A+
2024-05-24 1,009 47 43 6 UCP +4
Léger
A+
2024-03-23 1,002 46 44 4 1 1 UCP +2
Abacus Data
A−
2024-03-18 1,000 55 40 2 UCP +15
Pallas Data
NR
2024-03-13 868 52 45 UCP +7
Léger
A+
2024-03-10 1,001 49 41 6 UCP +8
Léger
A+
2024-01-14 1,012 50 43 3 UCP +7
Angus Reid
B+
2023-11-28 392 53 40 3 2 UCP +13
Léger
A+
2023-10-29 1,001 46 47 5 NDP +1
Léger
A+
2023-09-17 1,001 49 39 4 2 3 UCP +10
General election 2023-05-29 1,777,321 52.6 44.0 0.7 0.8 0.2 UCP +8.6
Forum Research
B−
2023-05-28 1,000 50 44 2 UCP +6
Ipsos
A+
2023-05-26 1,300 51 46 UCP +5
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-05-27 1,539 (1/4) 50 48 1 1 UCP +2
Abacus Data
A−
2023-05-27 1,200 49 48 2 UCP +1
Research Co.
A
2023-05-27 600 50 46 UCP +4
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-05-26 1,922 (1/4) 48 47 2 1 UCP +1
Counsel Public Affairs
B
2023-05-26 1,232 41 46 NDP +5
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-05-25 1,841 (1/4) 49 46 2 1 UCP +3
Sovereign North Strategies
NR
2023-05-24 3,053 46 48 2 2 NDP +2
Oraclepoll Research
B
2023-05-24 800 49 46 2 3 UCP +3
Léger
A+
2023-05-24 1,011 49 46 UCP +3
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-05-24 1,778 (1/4) 48 46 2 2 UCP +2
EKOS
B+
2023-05-23 1,741 50 47 1 UCP +3
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-05-23 1,740 (1/4) 49 45 2 2 UCP +4
ThinkHQ [Calgary only]
NR
2023-05-22 1,054 43 49 3 NDP +6
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-05-22 1,712 (1/4) 50 44 2 1 UCP +6
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-05-21 1,720 (1/4) 50 44 2 2 UCP +6
Abacus Data
A−
2023-05-21 1,507 51 47 1 UCP +4
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-05-20 1,730 (1/4) 49 44 3 1 UCP +5
Janet Brown OR
A+
2023-05-19 1,000 52 44 1 UCP +8
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-05-19 1,723 (1/4) 47 46 3 2 UCP +1
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-05-18 1,657 (1/4) 48 46 3 2 UCP +2
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-05-17 1,519 (1/4) 47 47 3 2 Tie
Research Co.
A
2023-05-17 600 47 49 1 NDP +2
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-05-16 1,404 (1/4) 48 46 2 2 UCP +2
Abacus Data
A−
2023-05-16 498 46 49 3 NDP +3
Sovereign North Strategies
NR
2023-05-15 3,431 47 49 2 1 NDP +2
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-05-15 1,296 (1/4) 49 45 2 1 UCP +4
Angus Reid
B+
2023-05-14 1,202 51 43 3 UCP +8
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-05-14 1,218 (1/4) 49 45 4 1 UCP +4
Counsel Public Affairs
B
2023-05-13 1,219 38 48 5 4 NDP +10
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-05-13 1,173 (1/4) 49 45 3 UCP +4
Ipsos
A+
2023-05-12 800 48 45 3 UCP +3
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-05-12 1,143 (1/4) 49 44 2 2 UCP +5
Sovereign North Strategies
NR
2023-05-11 2,909 45 50 2 2 NDP +5
Abacus Data
A−
2023-05-11 885 41 51 5 NDP +10
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-05-11 1,338 (1/4) 50 44 2 1 UCP +6
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-05-02 1,524 (1/4) 50 43 4 1 UCP +7
Léger
A+
2023-04-30 1,000 43 45 4 3 NDP +2
Ipsos
A+
2023-04-28 1,200 48 44 4 UCP +4
ThinkHQ
NR
2023-04-27 1,529 46 46 5 1 Tie
Abacus Data
A−
2023-04-23 1,000 46 46 5 Tie
Oraclepoll Research
B
2023-04-19 800 44 46 3 5 NDP +2
Innovative Research
B−
2023-04-16 1,324 41 40 4 4 7 UCP +1
Janet Brown OR [Calgary only]
A+
2023-03-31 1,000 42 47 3 NDP +5
Léger
A+
2023-03-26 1,001 44 47 2 3 NDP +3
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-03-22 1,108 (1/4) 45 46 3 NDP +1
ThinkHQ
NR
2023-03-15 1,122 45 46 6 2 NDP +1
Innovative Research
B−
2023-03-12 450 39 40 5 6 7 NDP +1
Angus Reid
B+
2023-03-10 827 49 42 4 2 UCP +7
Abacus Data
A−
2023-03-03 700 45 45 6 Tie
Léger
A+
2023-02-11 1,002 43 47 2 4 NDP +4
Pivotal Research
NR
2023-02-05 661 42 46 6 6 NDP +4
Abacus Data
A−
2023-02-04 1,000 47 45 5 UCP +2
ThinkHQ
NR
2023-01-20 1,144 48 45 4 UCP +3
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-01-20 646 (1/4) 46 41 6 UCP +5
Abacus Data
A−
2022-12-08 1,000 43 51 3 NDP +8
Mainstreet Research
A−
2022-12-03 615 (1/4) 47 45 4 UCP +2
Angus Reid
B+
2022-12-01 565 48 44 5 1 UCP +4
Léger
A+
2022-11-26 1,001 44 47 2 4 NDP +3
Janet Brown OR
A+
2022-10-22 1,200 41 51 3 NDP +10
Navigator
NR
2022-10-10 1,002 38 53 4 NDP +15
Léger
A+
2022-10-09 1,000 42 44 3 4 NDP +2
Angus Reid
B+
2022-09-21 598 47 41 4 2 UCP +6
Léger
A+
2022-09-03 1,006 44 41 4 2 UCP +3
Léger
A+
2022-07-16 1,025 41 45 5 2 NDP +4
Counsel Public Affairs
B
2022-06-10 788 37 42 5 NDP +5
Angus Reid
B+
2022-06-10 592 42 40 6 2 UCP +2
Léger
A+
2022-05-22 1,000 42 40 3 3 UCP +2
ThinkHQ
NR
2022-03-31 1,135 34 46 5 2 NDP +12
Mainstreet Research
A−
2022-03-24 1,003 37 40 6 2 2 NDP +3
Léger
A+
2022-03-19 1,002 35 44 6 4 NDP +9
Angus Reid
B+
2022-03-13 584 38 40 6 2 NDP +2
Research Co.
A
2022-03-12 600 30 45 7 3 5 NDP +15
Yorkville Strategies
NR
2022-03-06 600 44 39 4 3 UCP +5
Janet Brown OR
A+
2022-03-04 900 40 36 UCP +4
Angus Reid
B+
2022-01-09 548 31 42 8 1 NDP +11
Léger
A+
2021-12-04 1,249 32 43 NDP +11
Mainstreet Research
A−
2021-10-13 935 29 45 6 1 2 NDP +16
Angus Reid
B+
2021-10-01 552 31 43 7 2 NDP +12
Innovative Research
B−
2021-10-01 500 29 45 5 2 9 NDP +16
Viewpoint Alberta
NR
2021-09-29 1,204 27 50 7 5 NDP +23
Innovative Research
B−
2021-09-11 200 31 44 5 4 8 NDP +13
Léger
A+
2021-07-24 1,377 34 45 6 4 NDP +11
Angus Reid
B+
2021-06-05 502 30 41 7 1 NDP +11
Mainstreet Research
A−
2021-05-20 1,010 31 38 6 3 3 NDP +7
Janet Brown OR
A+
2021-03-30 1,200 37 45 6 NDP +8
Léger
A+
2021-03-07 1,001 30 51 5 7 NDP +21
Viewpoint Alberta
NR
2021-03-04 1,000 32 42 5 8 NDP +10
Angus Reid
B+
2021-03-01 536 38 41 10 1 1 NDP +3
Mainstreet Research
A−
2021-01-07 1,003 31 48 4 2 3 NDP +17
Research Co.
A
2020-12-03 600 40 43 9 2 2 NDP +3
Angus Reid
B+
2020-11-27 553 43 39 10 UCP +4
Environics Research
NR
2020-11-17 1,205 40 47 8 NDP +7
Angus Reid
B+
2020-08-30 512 38 38 9 1 2 Tie
Innovative Research
B−
2020-07-17 254 42 32 9 3 12 UCP +10
Innovative Research
B−
2020-06-21 267 44 38 5 3 6 UCP +6
Innovative Research
B−
2020-05-31 276 42 28 11 3 14 UCP +14
Janet Brown OR
A+
2020-05-28 900 46 36 10 6 UCP +10
Angus Reid
B+
2020-05-22 580 42 36 5 UCP +6
Innovative Research
B−
2020-05-03 264 45 30 7 8 UCP +15
Angus Reid
B+
2020-02-26 555 40 36 8 2 3 UCP +4
Mainstreet Research
A−
2020-02-22 751 47 38 6 4 UCP +9
General election 2019-04-16 2,824,309 54.9 32.7 9.1 0.4 1.0 UCP +22.2
Mainstreet Research
A−
2019-04-14 1,288 48 40 8 1 1 UCP +8
Léger
A+
2019-04-13 1,505 42 29 8 2 UCP +13
Pollara
NR
2019-04-13 1,005 45 39 8 2 3 UCP +6
Ipsos
A+
2019-04-13 1,202 50 40 7 1 UCP +10
Nanos Research
A+
2019-04-12 500 44 36 12 3 UCP +8
Mainstreet Research
A−
2019-04-11 1,189 49 39 8 1 3 UCP +10
Pollara
NR
2019-04-09 1,005 45 38 8 1 4 UCP +7
Mainstreet Research
A−
2019-04-08 1,124 48 40 7 1 2 UCP +8
Angus Reid
B+
2019-04-07 807 52 39 6 1 UCP +13
Ipsos
A+
2019-04-07 800 47 39 10 2 UCP +8
Innovative Research
B−
2019-04-06 506 44 31 11 6 7 UCP +13
ThinkHQ
NR
2019-04-06 1,139 46 40 8 2 UCP +6
Forum Research
B−
2019-04-06 1,132 55 32 7 2 1 UCP +23
Mainstreet Research
A−
2019-04-05 876 51 38 6 2 2 UCP +13
Léger
A+
2019-04-03 879 47 38 9 4 UCP +9
Mainstreet Research
A−
2019-04-02 1,089 50 39 6 1 3 UCP +11
Research Co.
A
2019-03-31 600 45 40 6 3 UCP +5
Mainstreet Research
A−
2019-03-30 1,069 49 39 5 2 2 UCP +10
Janet Brown OR
A+
2019-03-28 900 53 34 8 4 UCP +19
Mainstreet Research
A−
2019-03-27 1,028 49 38 7 2 3 UCP +11
Mainstreet Research
A−
2019-03-24 987 49 36 6 1 4 UCP +13
EKOS
B+
2019-03-23 1,015 46 42 6 1 2 UCP +4
Mainstreet Research
A−
2019-03-22 931 47 39 6 2 2 UCP +8
Mainstreet Research
A−
2019-03-19 1,160 47 34 4 1 3 UCP +13
ThinkHQ
NR
2019-03-16 1,196 49 38 8 3 UCP +11
Ipsos
A+
2019-03-16 900 53 35 4 3 UCP +18
Angus Reid
B+
2019-03-15 763 56 31 5 2 UCP +25
Léger
A+
2019-03-10 1,001 47 35 9 6 UCP +12
Lethbridge College
NR
2019-02-04 1,055 58 23 4 5 UCP +35
Mainstreet Research
A−
2019-01-16 893 52 28 8 3 6 UCP +24
Innovative Research
B−
2018-12-31 1,100 47 31 9 5 8 UCP +16
ThinkHQ
NR
2018-11-26 1,102 50 35 9 5 UCP +15
Mainstreet Research
A−
2018-11-12 936 54 29 6 5 UCP +25
Abacus Data
A−
2018-11-09 800 48 33 8 8 UCP +15
Lethbridge College
NR
2018-10-04 1,364 49 25 8 11 UCP +24
Mainstreet Research
A−
2018-07-17 936 52 33 5 5 UCP +19
Léger
A+
2018-06-12 999 47 33 9 7 UCP +14
Mainstreet Research
A−
2018-04-18 1,071 49 35 5 6 UCP +14

[** Double asterix indicates this is a leaked internal poll or a poll coming from a partisan source.]