logo
Alberta

Recent electoral history | Airdrie-Cochrane


2019 2023 Projection UCP 58% ± 6% 66.1% 60.2% NDP 35% ± 6% 25.2% 37.3% PTPA 2% ± 2% 6.3% 0.0%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Alberta flag

338Canada Airdrie-Cochrane projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Airdrie-Cochrane 52% 65% 58% ± 6% UCP 29% 41% 35% ± 6% NDP UCP 2023 60.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Airdrie-Cochrane >99% UCP <1% NDP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Airdrie-Cochrane

UCP 58% ± 6% NDP 35% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Airdrie-Cochrane 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP 61% NDP 35% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 61% NDP 36% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 61% NDP 35% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 61% NDP 35% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 64% NDP 33% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 63% NDP 33% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 61% NDP 33% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 60% NDP 33% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP 57% NDP 36% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP 58% NDP 35% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Airdrie-Cochrane

LIB <1% UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2026-02-08 2024-03-19 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09