logo
Alberta

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Falconridge


2019 2023 Projection NDP 48% ± 8% 44.9% 56.4% UCP 42% ± 8% 45.6% 39.6% PTPA 3% ± 3% 5.7% 0.0% LIB 1% ± 2% 3.8% 0.0%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Alberta flag

338Canada Calgary-Falconridge projection

Latest update: April 29, 2026

Calgary-Falconridge 40% 55% 48% ± 8% NDP 35% 50% 42% ± 8% UCP NDP 2023 56.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-Falconridge 76%▲ NDP 24%▼ UCP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Calgary-Falconridge

Odds of winning | Calgary-Falconridge