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Alberta


Edmonton-McClung


MLA: Lorne Dach, (NDP)


Latest projection: January 20, 2024

Likely NDP
Edmonton-McClung 56% ± 7%▼ 39% ± 7%▲ NDP 2023 59.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Edmonton-McClung 99%▼ 1%▲ <1% Odds of winning | January 20, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).



Popular vote projection | Edmonton-McClung

UCP 39% ± 7% NDP 56% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton-McClung 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

Odds of winning | Edmonton-McClung

UCP 1% NDP 99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

Recent electoral history | Edmonton-McClung



2019 2023 Proj. NDP 43.6% 59.5% 56% ± 7% UCP 35.9% 37.3% 39% ± 7% GPA 0.0% 1.2% 1% ± 2% ABP 19.5% 0.0% 1% ± 1% LIB 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%