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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Livingston-Macleod


2019 2023 Projection UCP 58% ± 7% 70.4% 66.9% NDP 28% ± 6% 20.8% 26.4% PTPA 7% ± 5% 5.1% 4.0% REP 6% ± 4% 0.0% 0.0%

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338Canada Livingston-Macleod projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Livingston-Macleod 50% 65% 58% ± 7% UCP 23% 34% 28% ± 6% NDP 2% 12% 7% ± 5% PTPA 2% 10% 6% ± 4% REP UCP 2023 66.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Livingston-Macleod >99% UCP <1% NDP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Livingston-Macleod

UCP 58% ± 7% NDP 28% ± 6% PTPA 7% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Livingston-Macleod 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA REP February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP 64% NDP 28% PTPA 5% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 64% NDP 28% PTPA 5% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 65% NDP 27% PTPA 5% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 65% NDP 27% PTPA 5% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 65% NDP 27% PTPA 5% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 64% NDP 28% PTPA 6% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 60% NDP 27% REP 7% PTPA 6% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 60% NDP 27% PTPA 7% REP 6% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP 57% NDP 29% PTPA 7% REP 6% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP 58% NDP 28% PTPA 7% REP 6% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Livingston-Macleod

LIB <1% UCP >99% NDP <1% PTPA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2026-02-08 2024-03-19 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP >99% PTPA <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09