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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Edmonton-Ellerslie


2019 2023 Projection NDP 54% ± 7% 50.9% 61.7% UCP 40% ± 7% 37.9% 36.9% PTPA 2% ± 2% 6.7% 0.0%

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338Canada Edmonton-Ellerslie projection

Latest update: October 19, 2026

Edmonton-Ellerslie 47% 61% 54% ± 7% ▲ NDP 33% 47% 40% ± 7% UCP NDP 2023 61.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 19, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton-Ellerslie 98%▲ NDP 2%▼ UCP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | October 19, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Edmonton-Ellerslie

Odds of winning | Edmonton-Ellerslie