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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Edmonton-Manning


2019 2023 Projection NDP 51% ± 7% 50.1% 59.8% UCP 41% ± 7% 38.3% 38.3% GPA 3% ± 3% 1.1% 1.9% PTPA 2% ± 2% 8.6% 0.0%

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338Canada Edmonton-Manning projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Edmonton-Manning 44% 58% 51% ± 7% NDP 34% 48% 41% ± 7% UCP NDP 2023 59.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton-Manning 92%▼ NDP 8%▲ UCP <1% GPA Odds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Edmonton-Manning

Odds of winning | Edmonton-Manning