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Alberta

Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills


MLA: Nathan Cooper, (UCP)

Latest projection: July 7, 2024
Safe UCP
Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills 74% ± 5%▲ UCP 20% ± 5%▼ NDP UCP 2023 75.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | July 7, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills >99% UCP <1% NDP <1% WIP Odds of winning | July 7, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).



Popular vote projection | Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills

UCP 74% ± 5% NDP 20% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP July 7, 2024 2023-05-03 UCP 68% NDP 23% 2023-05-03 2023-05-04 UCP 65% NDP 26% 2023-05-04 2023-05-05 UCP 66% NDP 25% 2023-05-05 2023-05-06 UCP 66% NDP 24% 2023-05-06 2023-05-08 UCP 68% NDP 23% 2023-05-08 2023-05-10 UCP 68% NDP 23% 2023-05-10 2023-05-13 UCP 69% NDP 29% 2023-05-13 2023-05-14 UCP 72% NDP 26% 2023-05-14 2023-05-15 UCP 74% NDP 24% 2023-05-15 2023-05-16 UCP 74% NDP 24% 2023-05-16 2023-05-17 UCP 74% NDP 24% 2023-05-17 2023-05-18 UCP 74% NDP 24% 2023-05-18 2023-05-19 UCP 74% NDP 24% 2023-05-19 2023-05-21 UCP 74% NDP 24% 2023-05-21 2023-05-22 UCP 75% NDP 23% 2023-05-22 2023-05-23 UCP 75% NDP 23% 2023-05-23 2023-05-24 UCP 76% NDP 22% 2023-05-24 2023-05-25 UCP 76% NDP 22% 2023-05-25 2023-05-26 UCP 76% NDP 22% 2023-05-26 2023-05-27 UCP 75% NDP 23% 2023-05-27 2023-05-28 UCP 75% NDP 23% 2023-05-28 2023-05-31 UCP 75% NDP 19% 2023-05-31 2023-10-07 UCP 75% NDP 19% 2023-10-07 2023-11-09 UCP 73% NDP 21% 2023-11-09 2024-01-20 UCP 73% NDP 21% 2024-01-20 2024-03-19 UCP 73% NDP 21% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 74% NDP 20% 2024-07-07

Odds of winning | Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills

UCP >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP July 7, 2024 2023-05-03 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-03 2023-05-04 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-04 2023-05-05 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-05 2023-05-06 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-06 2023-05-08 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-08 2023-05-10 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-10 2023-05-13 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-13 2023-05-14 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-14 2023-05-15 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-15 2023-05-16 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-16 2023-05-17 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-17 2023-05-18 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-18 2023-05-19 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-19 2023-05-21 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-21 2023-05-22 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-22 2023-05-23 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-23 2023-05-24 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-24 2023-05-25 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-25 2023-05-26 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-26 2023-05-27 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-27 2023-05-28 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-28 2023-05-31 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-05-31 2023-10-07 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-10-07 2023-11-09 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2023-11-09 2024-01-20 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2024-01-20 2024-03-19 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP >99% NDP <1% 2024-07-07

Recent electoral history | Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills



2019 2023 Proj. UCP 78.6% 75.1% 74% ± 5% NDP 11.7% 18.9% 20% ± 5% ABP 6.8% 0.0% 0% ± 0% WIP 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%