logo
Alberta

Recent electoral history | Edmonton-West Henday


2019 2023 Projection NDP 51% ± 7% 43.9% 57.0% UCP 42% ± 7% 41.5% 39.2% PTPA 2% ± 2% 11.7% 0.0%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Alberta flag

338Canada Edmonton-West Henday projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Edmonton-West Henday 44% 58% 51% ± 7% NDP 35% 49% 42% ± 7% UCP NDP 2023 57.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton-West Henday 89%▼ NDP 11%▲ UCP <1% GPA Odds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Edmonton-West Henday

UCP 42% ± 7% NDP 51% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton-West Henday 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 NDP 54% UCP 41% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 49% UCP 46% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 49% UCP 46% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 NDP 49% UCP 46% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 NDP 48% UCP 47% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 NDP 48% UCP 47% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 NDP 48% UCP 45% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 NDP 49% UCP 45% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP 52% UCP 41% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 NDP 51% UCP 42% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Edmonton-West Henday

LIB <1% UCP 11% NDP 89% PTPA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 NDP >99% UCP <1% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 99% UCP 1% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 98% UCP 2% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 NDP 98% UCP 2% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 NDP 70% UCP 30% PTPA <1% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 NDP 65% UCP 35% PTPA <1% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 NDP 65% UCP 35% PTPA <1% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 NDP 55% UCP 45% PTPA <1% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP 60% UCP 40% PTPA <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 NDP 68% UCP 32% PTPA <1% 2026-02-08 2024-03-19 NDP 71% UCP 29% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 94% UCP 6% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 89% UCP 11% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09