logo
Alberta


Calgary-Peigan


MLA: Tanya Fir, (UCP)


Latest projection: November 9, 2023

Likely UCP
Calgary-Peigan 54% ± 7%▼ 41% ± 7%▲ 3% ± 3% UCP 2023 55.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 9, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Calgary-Peigan 96%▼ 4%▲ <1% Odds of winning | November 9, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).



Popular vote projection | Calgary-Peigan

UCP 54% ± 7% NDP 41% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Calgary-Peigan 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-06-01 2023-07-01 2023-08-01 2023-09-01 2023-10-01 2023-11-01 2023-12-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-02-01 2024-03-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

Odds of winning | Calgary-Peigan

UCP 96% NDP 4% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-06-01 2023-07-01 2023-08-01 2023-09-01 2023-10-01 2023-11-01 2023-12-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-02-01 2024-03-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Peigan



2019 2023 Proj. UCP 59.8% 55.0% 54% ± 7% NDP 29.2% 42.1% 41% ± 7% GPA 0.0% 2.9% 3% ± 3% ABP 6.9% 0.0% 1% ± 1% LIB 1.9% 0.0% 1% ± 1%