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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Edmonton-Meadows


2019 2023 Projection NDP 56% ± 7% 50.4% 62.4% UCP 40% ± 7% 35.5% 36.3% PTPA 2% ± 2% 10.2% 0.0%

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338Canada Edmonton-Meadows projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Edmonton-Meadows 49% 63% 56% ± 7% NDP 33% 47% 40% ± 7% UCP NDP 2023 62.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton-Meadows 99% NDP 1% UCP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Edmonton-Meadows

UCP 40% ± 7% NDP 56% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton-Meadows 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 NDP 59% UCP 38% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 54% UCP 43% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 53% UCP 43% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 NDP 53% UCP 43% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 NDP 52% UCP 44% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 NDP 53% UCP 44% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 NDP 53% UCP 42% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 NDP 54% UCP 42% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP 57% UCP 39% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 NDP 56% UCP 40% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Edmonton-Meadows

LIB <1% UCP 1% NDP 99% PTPA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 NDP >99% UCP <1% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP >99% UCP <1% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP >99% UCP <1% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 NDP >99% UCP <1% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 NDP 94% UCP 6% PTPA <1% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 NDP 92% UCP 8% PTPA <1% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 NDP 92% UCP 8% PTPA <1% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 NDP 87% UCP 13% PTPA <1% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP 90% UCP 10% PTPA <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 NDP 93% UCP 7% PTPA <1% 2026-02-08 2024-03-19 NDP 94% UCP 6% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 99% UCP 1% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 99% UCP 1% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09