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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Edmonton-South


2019 2023 Projection NDP 51% ± 7% 46.6% 59.0% UCP 42% ± 7% 43.2% 39.4% PTPA 2% ± 2% 9.4% 0.0%

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338Canada Edmonton-South projection

Latest update: October 19, 2026

Edmonton-South 44% 58% 51% ± 7% NDP 35% 49% 42% ± 7% ▼ UCP NDP 2023 59.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 19, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton-South 92%▲ NDP 8%▼ UCP <1% GPA Odds of winning | October 19, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Edmonton-South

Odds of winning | Edmonton-South