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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Calgary-North East


2019 2023 Projection NDP 52% ± 7% 35.9% 55.0% UCP 44% ± 7% 48.8% 45.0% PTPA 3% ± 3% 10.7% 0.0% LIB 1% ± 1% 4.6% 0.0%

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338Canada Calgary-North East projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Calgary-North East 44% 59% 52% ± 7% NDP 37% 51% 44% ± 7% UCP NDP 2023 55% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-North East 85%▼ NDP 15%▲ UCP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Calgary-North East

UCP 44% ± 7% NDP 52% ± 7% PTPA 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Calgary-North East 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 NDP 52% UCP 46% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 52% UCP 46% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 51% UCP 47% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 NDP 51% UCP 47% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 50% NDP 48% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 49% NDP 49% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 NDP 48% UCP 47% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 NDP 49% UCP 47% PTPA 3% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP 53% UCP 43% PTPA 3% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 NDP 52% UCP 44% PTPA 3% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Calgary-North East

LIB <1% UCP 15% NDP 85% PTPA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 NDP 92% UCP 8% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 94% UCP 6% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 80% UCP 20% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 NDP 76% UCP 24% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 NDP 79% UCP 21% PTPA <1% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 NDP 74% UCP 26% PTPA <1% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 NDP 74% UCP 26% PTPA <1% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 57% NDP 43% PTPA <1% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP 51% NDP 49% PTPA <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 NDP 58% UCP 42% PTPA <1% 2026-02-08 2024-03-19 NDP 64% UCP 36% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 91% UCP 9% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 85% UCP 15% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09