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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Currie


2019 2023 Projection NDP 52% ± 7% 42.3% 54.8% UCP 39% ± 7% 44.3% 41.0% PTPA 5% ± 5% 11.0% 1.8%

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338Canada Calgary-Currie projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Calgary-Currie 45% 60% 52% ± 7% NDP 32% 46% 39% ± 7% UCP 0% 10% 5% ± 5% PTPA NDP 2023 54.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-Currie 98%▼ NDP 2%▲ UCP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Calgary-Currie

UCP 39% ± 7% NDP 52% ± 7% PTPA 5% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Calgary-Currie 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 NDP 53% UCP 42% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 53% UCP 42% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 53% UCP 43% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 NDP 53% UCP 43% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 NDP 50% UCP 45% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 NDP 50% UCP 45% PTPA 3% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 NDP 50% UCP 42% PTPA 3% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 NDP 50% UCP 42% PTPA 5% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP 53% UCP 38% PTPA 5% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 NDP 52% UCP 39% PTPA 5% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Calgary-Currie

LIB <1% UCP 2% NDP 98% PTPA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 NDP 99% UCP 1% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 99% UCP 1% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 96% UCP 4% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 NDP 94% UCP 6% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 NDP 95% UCP 5% PTPA <1% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 NDP 94% UCP 6% PTPA <1% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 NDP 94% UCP 6% PTPA <1% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 NDP 75% UCP 25% PTPA <1% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP 80% UCP 20% PTPA <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 NDP 87% UCP 13% PTPA <1% 2026-02-08 2024-03-19 NDP 90% UCP 10% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 99% UCP 1% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 98% UCP 2% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09