United Conservative Party

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | United Conservative Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Current party	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre		Safe UCP hold	>99%
2.	Drumheller-Stettler		Safe UCP hold	>99%
3.	Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright		Safe UCP hold	>99%
4.	Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills		Safe UCP hold	>99%
5.	Taber-Warner		Safe UCP hold	>99%
6.	Innisfail-Sylvan Lake		Safe UCP hold	>99%
7.	Grande Prairie-Wapiti		Safe UCP hold	>99%
8.	Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul		Safe UCP hold	>99%
9.	Lacombe-Ponoka		Safe UCP hold	>99%
10.	Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche		Safe UCP hold	>99%
11.	Cardston-Siksika		Safe UCP hold	>99%
12.	Highwood		Safe UCP hold	>99%
13.	Chestermere-Strathmore		Safe UCP hold	>99%
14.	Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo		Safe UCP hold	>99%
15.	Drayton Valley-Devon		Safe UCP hold	>99%
16.	Camrose		Safe UCP hold	>99%
17.	Grande Prairie		Safe UCP hold	>99%
18.	Livingston-Macleod		Safe UCP hold	>99%
19.	West Yellowhead		Safe UCP hold	>99%
20.	Brooks-Medicine Hat		Safe UCP hold	>99%
21.	Central Peace-Notley		Safe UCP hold	>99%
22.	Athabasca-Barrhead		Likely UCP hold	>99%
23.	Calgary-South East		Likely UCP hold	>99%
24.	Peace River		Likely UCP hold	>99%
25.	Leduc-Beaumont		Likely UCP hold	>99%
26.	Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland		Likely UCP hold	>99%
27.	Airdrie East		Likely UCP hold	99%
28.	Calgary-Lougheed		Likely UCP hold	98%
29.	Calgary-West		Likely UCP hold	98%
30.	Calgary-Shaw		Likely UCP hold	97%
31.	Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin		Likely UCP hold	97%
32.	Calgary-Hays		Likely UCP hold	97%
33.	Red Deer-North		Likely UCP hold	96%
34.	Cypress-Medicine Hat		Likely UCP hold	96%
35.	Airdrie-Cochrane		Likely UCP hold	96%
36.	Strathcona-Sherwood Park		Likely UCP hold	93%
37.	Morinville-St. Albert		Likely UCP hold	92%
38.	Red Deer-South		Leaning UCP hold	89%
39.	Spruce Grove-Stony Plain		Leaning UCP hold	87%
40.	Lesser Slave Lake		Leaning UCP hold	86%
41.	Calgary-Fish Creek		Leaning UCP hold	80%
42.	Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville		Leaning UCP hold	78%
43.	Calgary-Peigan		Leaning UCP hold	72%
44.	Calgary-Foothills		Toss up UCP/NDP	64%
45.	Calgary-North		Toss up UCP/NDP	50%
46.	Calgary-North West		Toss up UCP/NDP	50%
47.	Calgary-Glenmore		Toss up UCP/NDP	50%
48.	Lethbridge-East		Toss up UCP/NDP	49%
49.	Calgary-Elbow		Toss up UCP/NDP	45%
50.	Calgary-Bow		Toss up UCP/NDP	43%
51.	Calgary-Edgemont		Toss up UCP/NDP	38%
52.	Calgary-Cross		Toss up UCP/NDP	35%
53.	Sherwood Park		Toss up UCP/NDP	32%
54.	Calgary-East		Leaning NDP gain	27%
55.	Calgary-Beddington		Leaning NDP gain	26%
56.	Calgary-Acadia		Leaning NDP gain	24%
57.	Banff-Kananaskis		Leaning NDP gain	24%
58.	Edmonton-South West		Leaning NDP gain	23%
59.	Calgary-North East		Leaning NDP gain	18%
60.	Calgary-Klein		Leaning NDP gain	13%
61.	Calgary-Currie		Likely NDP gain	9%
62.	St. Albert		Likely NDP hold	8%
63.	Edmonton-West Henday		Likely NDP hold	5%
64.	Calgary-Varsity		Likely NDP gain	4%
65.	Calgary-Falconridge		Likely NDP gain	3%
66.	Edmonton-South		Likely NDP hold	2%
67.	Edmonton-McClung		Likely NDP hold	1%
68.	Edmonton-Decore		Likely NDP hold	1%