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Alberta

Calgary-Mountain View


MLA: Kathleen Ganley, (NDP)

Latest projection: March 19, 2024
Safe NDP
Calgary-Mountain View 62% ± 6%▼ NDP 35% ± 6%▲ UCP NDP 2023 64.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 19, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-Mountain View >99% NDP <1% UCP <1% ABP Odds of winning | March 19, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).



Popular vote projection | Calgary-Mountain View

UCP 35% ± 6% NDP 62% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Calgary-Mountain View 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

Odds of winning | Calgary-Mountain View

UCP <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Mountain View



2019 2023 Proj. NDP 47.3% 64.7% 62% ± 6% UCP 36.7% 33.2% 35% ± 6% LIB 5.6% 1.3% 1% ± 1% ABP 8.8% 0.0% 1% ± 2% GPA 1.2% 0.0% 0% ± 0%