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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Klein


2019 2023 Projection NDP 47% ± 7% 39.9% 50.8% UCP 46% ± 7% 47.6% 46.7% PTPA 3% ± 3% 8.4% 0.0%

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338Canada Calgary-Klein projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Calgary-Klein 40% 54% 47% ± 7% NDP 39% 53% 46% ± 7% UCP NDP 2023 50.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-Klein 58%▼ NDP 42%▲ UCP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Calgary-Klein

UCP 46% ± 7% NDP 47% ± 7% PTPA 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Calgary-Klein 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 UCP 48% NDP 47% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 UCP 48% NDP 48% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 UCP 48% NDP 47% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 48% NDP 47% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 51% NDP 44% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 51% NDP 45% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 48% NDP 44% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 48% NDP 45% PTPA 3% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 NDP 48% UCP 45% PTPA 3% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 NDP 47% UCP 46% PTPA 3% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Calgary-Klein

LIB <1% UCP 42% NDP 58% PTPA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 UCP NDP PTPA February 8, 2026 2024-03-19 NDP 64% UCP 36% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 76% UCP 24% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 51% UCP 49% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-09 UCP 54% NDP 46% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09 2025-05-30 UCP 52% NDP 48% PTPA <1% 2025-05-30 2025-09-13 UCP 57% NDP 43% PTPA <1% 2025-09-13 2025-09-28 UCP 57% NDP 43% PTPA <1% 2025-09-28 2025-11-02 UCP 84% NDP 16% PTPA <1% 2025-11-02 2025-12-20 UCP 81% NDP 19% PTPA <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-08 UCP 73% NDP 27% PTPA <1% 2026-02-08 2024-03-19 UCP 68% NDP 32% PTPA <1% 2024-03-19 2024-07-07 NDP 69% UCP 31% PTPA <1% 2024-07-07 2025-02-09 NDP 58% UCP 42% PTPA <1% 2025-02-09