logo
Alberta

Recent electoral history | Edmonton-South West


2019 2023 Projection NDP 49% ± 7% 41.8% 56.5% UCP 45% ± 7% 45.0% 42.2% PTPA 2% ± 2% 11.7% 0.0%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Alberta flag

338Canada Edmonton-South West projection

Latest update: October 19, 2026

Edmonton-South West 42% 56% 49% ± 7% ▲ NDP 38% 52% 45% ± 7% ▼ UCP NDP 2023 56.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 19, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton-South West 72%▲ NDP 28%▼ UCP <1% GPA Odds of winning | October 19, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Edmonton-South West

Odds of winning | Edmonton-South West