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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Edmonton-South West


2019 2023 Projection UCP 49% ± 7% 45.0% 42.2% NDP 44% ± 7% 41.8% 56.5% PTPA 2% ± 2% 11.7% 0.0%

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338Canada Edmonton-South West projection

Latest update: April 29, 2026

Edmonton-South West 42% 56% 49% ± 7% UCP 37% 51% 44% ± 7% NDP NDP 2023 56.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton-South West 77%▼ UCP 23%▲ NDP <1% GPA Odds of winning | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Edmonton-South West

Odds of winning | Edmonton-South West