logo
Alberta

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Bow


2019 2023 Projection UCP 48% ± 7% 55.6% 49.3% NDP 41% ± 7% 34.3% 47.8% PTPA 7% ± 5% 7.2% 2.6%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Alberta flag

338Canada Calgary-Bow projection

Latest update: June 7, 2026

Calgary-Bow 41% 55% 48% ± 7% UCP 35% 48% 41% ± 7% NDP 3% 12% 7% ± 5% PTPA UCP 2023 49.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 7, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-Bow 87%▼ UCP 13%▲ NDP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | June 7, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Calgary-Bow

Odds of winning | Calgary-Bow