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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Bow


2019 2023 Projection NDP 46% ± 7% 34.3% 47.8% UCP 44% ± 7% 55.6% 49.3% PTPA 7% ± 5% 7.2% 2.6%

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338Canada Calgary-Bow projection

Latest update: October 19, 2026

Calgary-Bow 39% 52% 46% ± 7% ▲ NDP 37% 51% 44% ± 7% ▼ UCP 2% 12% 7% ± 5% PTPA UCP 2023 49.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 19, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-Bow 61%▲ NDP 39%▼ UCP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | October 19, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Calgary-Bow

Odds of winning | Calgary-Bow