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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Elbow


2019 2023 Projection UCP 44% ± 7% 44.2% 46.0% NDP 38% ± 7% 23.5% 49.0% PTPA 14% ± 6% 30.6% 4.5%

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338Canada Calgary-Elbow projection

Latest update: April 29, 2026

Calgary-Elbow 37% 51% 44% ± 7% UCP 32% 45% 38% ± 7% NDP 7% 20% 14% ± 6% PTPA NDP 2023 49.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-Elbow 83%▼ UCP 17%▲ NDP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Calgary-Elbow

Odds of winning | Calgary-Elbow