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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Elbow


2019 2023 Projection NDP 43% ± 7% 23.5% 49.0% UCP 42% ± 7% 44.2% 46.0% PTPA 12% ± 6% 30.6% 4.5%

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338Canada Calgary-Elbow projection

Latest update: September 15, 2026

Calgary-Elbow 36% 49% 43% ± 7% NDP 35% 49% 42% ± 7% UCP 6% 18% 12% ± 6% PTPA NDP 2023 49.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 15, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-Elbow 54%▲ NDP 46%▼ UCP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | September 15, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Calgary-Elbow

Odds of winning | Calgary-Elbow