logo
Alberta

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Elbow


2019 2023 Projection UCP 43% ± 7% 44.2% 46.0% NDP 40% ± 7% 23.5% 49.0% PTPA 14% ± 6% 30.6% 4.5%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Alberta flag

338Canada Calgary-Elbow projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Calgary-Elbow 36% 49% 43% ± 7% UCP 33% 46% 40% ± 7% NDP 7% 20% 14% ± 6% PTPA NDP 2023 49.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-Elbow 69%▲ UCP 31%▼ NDP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Calgary-Elbow

Odds of winning | Calgary-Elbow